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Another great year for the lottery down in Tennessee :
The Tennessee Lottery has had another record fiscal year, with a return of $284.2 million to education, bringing the total raised since inception to over $919 million. Gross sales for the fiscal year, which ended June 30, were over $1 billion—gross sales since inception are over $3.3 billion.
Why is Tennessee one of many states running a gambling operation? For the children, of course! After paying out prizes, a percentage to retailers, and operating costs, the tidy profit is available for education funding. Sounds like a great deal -- keep taxes low, provide money for students, make a few people fabulously rich, and give the rest of the players a momentary thrill for only a dollar or two. It's not like anyone is being forced to buy tickets, after all, and clearly the money is going to a good cause. What's not to like?
Tennessee is actually being fairly responsible about allocating the lottery funds in line with their intended purpose: During the past fiscal year, Lottery funds were used to assist nearly 60,000 students at higher education institutions in the state, to fund 290 Pre-K classes, and to fund grants to 126 after-school programs. While many of the 42 states with lotteries market them as strengthening schools, only 24 earmark a portion of proceeds for education. A CSM article reported mixed results
for funding education via lotteries:
Many times, says the Rev. Richard McGowan, a professor at the Carroll School of Management at Boston College, "you're really allowing the state to spend the money in other places rather than the schools. It's not a bonus for the schools but a substitution."[...] The study demonstrated that, after Ohio's 1974 promise to devote all lottery winnings to public schools, state spending on education dropped from 42 percent of its total budget in 1973 to 29 percent in 1994.
Sometimes states really do maintain their previous education funding and use lottery winnings to provide additional money directed towards specific programs such as scholarships; sometimes states use the lottery cash to replace previous funding and either cut taxes or spend the additional money elsewhere.
Suppose the money is essential for education: is a lottery the most fiscally responsible and efficient way to secure the funds? Probably not .
First, high taxes on specific products violate the principal tenet of sound tax policy, what economists call "neutrality."Second, good tax policy requires taxes that easily understood. Taxpayers should know if a product is taxed and how much. Lotteries allow politicians to mislead taxpayers about the amount of tax they're paying.
Third, many studies have shown lotteries to be regressive, meaning low-income people spend more on lotteries as a percentage of their income.
Lotteries might even be a bad deal for retailers; if customers spend their cash on low-margin tickets (most states pay retailers around 7%) instead of high-margin snacks/drinks, the stores could lose more money than selling tickets provides in increased traffic. And this is before even discussing the costs of compulsive gambling.
If more money is required for education, states should either cut spending from less essential areas or raise taxes to increase income. A lottery is not an ideal solution. It takes money from people least able to afford losing it and either gifts the state with extra "free" money (bloating the government while allowing politicians to claim they aren't raising taxes) or, in the unlikely event that state spending is held relatively constant, shifts the tax burden from those with more money to those with less (precisely opposite of the intent of our progressive income tax system).
Of course, none of the states are likely to drop the lottery anytime soon. As the Tennessee article illustrates, they're quite happy with the results.

Comments :
Another regressive tax
that often provides general income while masquerading as a public service: the cigarette tax.
Come, my friends. 'Tis not too late to seek a newer world -- Tennyson
lottery:
a tax on people who are bad at math (from a bumper sticker)
I came. I saw. I posted.
Veni, Vidi, Bitchy.
Nice,
This was my response until I saw you beat me to it. :-)
We are all mediators, translators. - Derrida
http://signicide.blogspot.com/
Plus, lotteries lead to crime
The absolutely ironclad proof in this article
from today's Albany Times Union:
At least justice was served. Kind of a funny story, I thought. There's a picture of the three crooks looking forlorn on the front page
right now.
Come, my friends. 'Tis not too late to seek a newer world -- Tennyson
Lottery Funding/Math
It's funny how people thing their individual chances will decrease as the jackpot grows larger, when the jackpot amount has nothing to do with your chances of winning. You always have a 1 in umpteen million chance of winning the jackpot (usually the number is on the back of the ticket) but whatever. Just my little mathematician rant.
Aside from the bad math tax, it would be interesting to see them use the lottery to supplement the funding for other programs, like health care. You can simply set up a state lottery game where the proceeds would be earmarked for that particular state. Of course, with larger multi-state games (like Mega Millions and Powerball) it would be a little more work needed, but I think they could swing it. That way you could keep (at least income taxes) reasonable and make the health care more affordable (read: not free, but affordable) on a state-by-state basis. People tend to take better care of things they actually have to pay for.
Just a thought I guess.
http://wealthweekly.blogspot.com
Wii FC:2805-8311-8040-2678 Brawl: 2277-7051-2186
I always thought
it would be a good investment for a corporation or billionaire to invest in all the possible combinations of numbers when the prize exceeds the odds (which has happened a few times). I don't know if this is possible, but it is possible (theoretically if one could organize it).
We are all mediators, translators. - Derrida
http://signicide.blogspot.com/
The problem with that...
...is filling out all the tickets.
The only "quick" way to buy a powerball (or similar lottery) ticket is to choose the random option.
Say there are 40 million combinations. Even choosing the random option, and assuming you could do one per second, it would take one person 463 days... 24 hours pers day... to do that many tickets.
AND... if choosing the random option, not all combinations would be chosen. lots of combinations would be chosen more than once.
So... since every possible combination would have to be entered manually to avoid duplicates and missed combinations, that would make it take much longer.
Let's say that a person can quickly fill out a lottery ticket in 10 seconds. It would take one person 4,630 days, 24 hours per day, to enter 40 million combinations.
Said billionaire would have to hire a very large team to enter all the combinations. If he hired 4,630 people and had them work 8 hour days with no breaks, he could have them enter every combination in three days.
The minimum wage is $7.25/hour now (or soon will be).
It would cost our billionaire over $800,000 in labor costs just to get the 40 million tickets entered.
Finally, after all that... he would have to hope that he is the only winner. With the prize being that big, and he adding substantially to the prize pool with his purchases, the likelihood of there only being one winner would be very slim. If he has to share the prize with two or three other winners, it might be a net loss for him.
When you consider that a billionaire probably makes millions in interest per day on his fortune through "traditional" investment methods...
....you realize that this would be a silly exercise and a waste of time.
I survived the Bush Administration
Good points
I left out the 'physically' after my first 'possible' in my comment above. Thanks for doing all the math though to really illustrate it.
We are all mediators, translators. - Derrida
http://signicide.blogspot.com/