Weekend Open Thread
Sen. Craig resigned today .
It was a bad month in Iraq, with over 1,800 civilians killed in August, the most since the escalation began.
Bush and Congress propose different plans to fix the mortgage and credit crunch .
Have a great Labor Day weekend .
Submitted by Specter on Sat, 2007-09-01 11:22
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Comments :
I think it's a shame
that Larry Craig is being forced to resign, for essentially being gay.
Adults should be allowed to engage in behavior of their own choosing as long as it causes no harm to others.
I would much rather see Craig being voted out, or forced to resign because he has denied the gay community their right to exist out in the open.
It is the economy, stupid.
Thank the Democrats.
They are the ones that made the big hoopla over this and thus put pressure on him to resign. Republicans were merely reacting to the pressure being applied by the Democrats.
Republican Maverick at Large
-4:Strongly Disagree; 0:Meh; +4:Strongly Agree
Hmm... disagree.
The Democrats tried to push Vitter to resign, to no support from the Republicans. The Republicans themselves threatened to pressure
(or in some cases did pressure) Craig, Democrats notwithstanding. If it's really just a matter of Republicans reacting to Democrats, we'd have seen the same cycle with Vitter, no?
Saint, n. A dead sinner revised and edited. - Ambrose Bierce
Any quotes from leading Democrats on this?
Because I can find ones from most Republican candidates for President and from the Senate minority leader.
Are you denying the role the Democrats played
in keeping this in the news? I assume that the attitudes and positions of the liberals here on SC are similar to the public rhetoric of the Democrats. Is this not correct?
Anything said by the people you mention that occurred AFTER the media frenzy began was merely a reaction to that media pressure which was created by the Democrats seeking to put this story on the front pages.
It is absurd to think that the Republicans were pushing to make this front page news, correct?
Republican Maverick at Large
-4:Strongly Disagree; 0:Meh; +4:Strongly Agree
Please
"Democrats" didn't keep this in the news. The media did. Why? Because they are liberally biased? No, because it's a "sex scandal" and that sells papers and hooks viewers.
We are the environment. There is no distinction. What we do to the earth we do to ourselves. —David Suzuki
Bah.
You had it right the first time. The fact that it is also a sex scandal is just gravy to them! :)
Republican Maverick at Large
-4:Strongly Disagree; 0:Meh; +4:Strongly Agree
Of course the Republicans wanted to keep it
out of the spotlight, and Democrats didn't mind exposing the hypocrisy of it all.
It is absurd to think that Republicans wanted this story to come out any more than they wanted the Mark Foley story to come out.
It is the economy, stupid.
I fully agree, for once.
Ergo it must have been Democrats that were keeping this in the news, which is what created the pressure for Republicans to ask him to resign.
In the end, the Demorats just forced another gay out of congress.
Republican Maverick at Large
-4:Strongly Disagree; 0:Meh; +4:Strongly Agree
Yes, the gay purging Democratic party
Apparently they removed another Senator with a 0 rating from the Human Rights Campaign. If the keep this up, their won't be ANY gay senators voting for the Federal Marriage Amendment and THEN where will they be?!?
LOL. :)
True. So true. :)
Republican Maverick at Large
-4:Strongly Disagree; 0:Meh; +4:Strongly Agree
From your perspective those dems
must be pretty tough.
All this brute force they are using.
Forcing the gays out of Congress.
Forcing the Commander in Cheif to screw up Iraq.
What other missteps can you claim the Democrats forced Republicans to make?
I had no idea Republicans were such helpless victims.
It is the economy, stupid.
Yes, I know.
This is a little known fact. Lots of people get surprised by that.
Republican Maverick at Large
-4:Strongly Disagree; 0:Meh; +4:Strongly Agree
As a former republican, I can only say that
purging the GOP of he libertarian wing and hitching it to a "values voter" base is going to turn out badly, as we are seeing now. The modern conservative movement arose as a libertarian/classical liberal revolt against the New Deal State--Hayek,Mises,Friedman, and in some respects Rand. Even Francis Schaeffer, one of the original influential evangelical intellectuals who advocated Christian participation in government in the 60s and 70s, approached the topic from a more or less classical liberal perspective. As long as you had a "moral majority" who mainly argued against the use of government coercion to force a particular moral viewpoint on the citizenry, you could have a coalition of libertarians and so-caled "social conservatives." However, as soon as the "moral majority" morphed politically into the likes of the Family Research Council and the Christian Coalition, which began to seek the use of government coercion to enforce their particular moral viewpoint, the libertarian-social conservative coalition in the GOP began to crack.
All this "Family Values" business started when George H.W. Bush had a lousy economic record to run on in the 92 re-election and was being savaged in the Wall street Journal Editorial Pages. He then turned to "Family Values" and got summarily trounced. The Republicans regained power running on a somewhat libertarian "Contract of America".
Last week, when watching the littany of "values voters" spokesman make the rounds on cable TV and once again claim the GOP can't win without the values voters base, I just laugh. Bill clinton, for god's sakes won the evangelical vote in 92 and 96. I never seen any polling data to indicate other than that the evangelical basically splits evenly between the GOP and Democrats. Meanwhile, the libertarian vote, which once went 90-10/80-20 to the GOP now is split 50-50..and low and behold those self-identifying as Republicans in polls are at a 30 year low.
I'm reminded of the Rasmussen poll in 2000 that sampled 1000 adults with a series of 10 questions on economic and personal freedom and with a 95% confidence level determined that more americans held libertarian views than either purely liberal or conservative views. In fact after "Centrist," which was by far the highest, libertarian was the next highest. Conservative was dead last.
No argument from me.
I am not part of the religious right. I would vote libertarian if I didn't feel that it would be effectively throwing my vote away and getting the Democrat into office for my trouble.
Republican Maverick at Large
-4:Strongly Disagree; 0:Meh; +4:Strongly Agree
The irony here
is that if the Republican party ditched the religious right, they'd pick up a lot of voters from the middle and left. Enough to make up for the loss? Not sure, but certainly enough to make life difficult for the Democrats (and in that sense, maybe enough to make up for the loss). The LGBT vote, for example, is small but 1. the highest rate of voter turnout among demographic groups, and 2. predominantly Democratic. As more gay issues are becoming mainstreamed, more gay voters are going Republican, which makes perfect sense. Bush appointing an openly gay diplomat was a major coup (for those voters) because it robs the Democrats of the strength of their position (no, we're the party of inclusion!). Then you have the religious right asserting itself again and cowering the Republican candidates into promising they won't support the LGBT community too much, so don't worry! And so those voters remain in the Democratic party.
What are the religious right voters going to do, form their own party? Good, let em: and watch them sink into obscurity.
Dan Savage has an acronym that Republicans should use when discussing the religious right: DTMFA. Can't expand it due to site rules, but a quick google will show it.
Saint, n. A dead sinner revised and edited. - Ambrose Bierce
Perhaps.
But I tend to be a "if it ain't broke don't fix it" type of guy with a touch of "if you done broke it, fix it already". I also don't believe that America is broke, and I do believe that some of the Democrat initiatives to "fix" it actually "break" it.
This tends to put me at odds with most of the progressive initiatives of the left, and while I don't share the religious zeal of the religious right they seem to be more in tune with the America that I grew up with. So jettisoning them in favor of pulling in more people from left of center is working against my desired state.
I'm not saying that the way things are is perfect, but I'm comfortable with the way that they are. So I can empathize with the plight of some of the fringe groups on the left, I can even buy into raising awareness of their plight to buy them some additional understanding, but I don't favor major societal upheavals to accomodate them. I don't believe in violence against anyone unless there is no other option, and that certainly extends to any of the fringe groups on the left as well.
This still IS America after all.
Republican Maverick at Large
-4:Strongly Disagree; 0:Meh; +4:Strongly Agree
The media kept this in the news
Facts which fit into ongoing narratives reinforce one another and stick in the news. You've got a strong narrative going that the "Defenders of Traditional Marriage" leaders are breaking their own laws and commandments right and left.
Mark Foley going after young pages when he had written laws concerning those very acts,
Ted Haggard, a major leader of the religious right getting drugs from a gay hooker
David Vitter, who called for Clinton to resign and whose wife said that she would pull a Lorena Bobbit if her husband EVER did anything like that ending up on a client list for a prostitution ring.
That Floridian legislator who offered to blow an officer (and later claimed it was because he was scared of the big husky black man!!!)
And now Senator Craig pleading guilty to a lesser offense after being arrested for trying to pick someone up for anonymous sex in the the airport bathroom.
The Democrats don't need to push this in the news. The media LOVES stories about hypocritical lawmakers. The Republicans simply threw Craig overboard because they are desperately trying to set up a counter narrative of "Cleaning their own house" of such hypocrites.
Democrats? MSM? What's the difference?
Same group as far as I can tell.
While you get an A for effort here (for trying to be accurate), you still left one little detail out. While it is true that Craig was "arrested for trying to pick someone up for anonymous sex in the the airport bathroom", he denies that this was the case [EDIT: (that he was, in fact, trolling for sex)].
Perhaps, but the Republicans clearly would have swept this under the rug if they could have. Given that they couldn't, they had to ditch him to avoid the hypocrisy charges. So in the end, their actions were in response to media pressure regardless of who created it.
Republican Maverick at Large
-4:Strongly Disagree; 0:Meh; +4:Strongly Agree
Or......
He pled guilty, before he pled innocent.
His actions are a response to his own self deceit about his true sexual identity.
If he had the courage to be true to himself, he would never have been in this predicament.
So let's not place the blame on the media for Craig's identitiy crises.
That is like saying it is the media's fault that priests molested young boys.
The sin belongs to the priests, not the press.
It is the economy, stupid.
I get the sense that there MIGHT be a coherent thought
in there someplace, but you have disguised it quite effectively. What was this supposed to mean again?
Republican Maverick at Large
-4:Strongly Disagree; 0:Meh; +4:Strongly Agree
That's funny!
And congratulations on your diplomacy.
I am too tired to re-explain in language that you will understand.
It is the economy, stupid.
Had he the courage to be true, he would not be a Senator
A gay senator from Idaho?
An openly gay Republican elected to national office?
That will be an interesting day indeed.
Depends:
Given, for example, that the Democratic stance on disengaging from the war is nothing whatsoever like the attitudes and positions of liberals here on SC, I think you're overstating the point a bit.
And I do think knocienz has a good point: if you want to claim it was Democratic pressure, you should show evidence of Democratic pressure. He brought concrete evidence of Republican pressure, so pony up with your side. No fair just running with assumptions!
Saint, n. A dead sinner revised and edited. - Ambrose Bierce
RE: Depends:
Touche!
While I didn't say it directly, I half conceded the point here: Democrats? MSM? What's the difference?
I will make it more direct here by saying that after a cursor news scan I can't find a whole lot to pin on the Democrats on this point. In this case it appears to have been primarily media driven, so blame THEM instead! :)
Republican Maverick at Large
-4:Strongly Disagree; 0:Meh; +4:Strongly Agree
I don't think you'll ever have a problem
lacking support for a "blame the media" argument. They're everyone's favorite target, left or right!
Saint, n. A dead sinner revised and edited. - Ambrose Bierce
Apparently Bush's nominee for Surgeon General
doesn't have a problem fleecing the United Methodist Church of Kentucky when he sat on their board
. This is the same yahoo who has called homosexuality immoral and has suggested limits to their freedom and rights.
Surprise!!!
Par for the course
He sounds like a perfect caporegime for the Bush Crime Family.
qui tacet consentire
Bush should go up in the polls ...
just for the amusement factor alone! He may be a lame duck of a President but he can still get a rise out of you liberals!
Republican Maverick at Large
-4:Strongly Disagree; 0:Meh; +4:Strongly Agree
Possible Craig replacement
Lt. Gov. Jim Risch, major league bozo.
Here's what he said
about Katrina victims in 2006:
And how about that dam break?
Crossposted, essentially, from DKos.
qui tacet consentire
The devaastation wrought by Hurricane Katrina was far worse
than the 1976 collapse of the Teton Dam. Hurricane Katrina was the worst in American history so far, but what compounded it was government ineptitude at the national, federal and local levels.
Lt. Governor Jim Risch sounds totally insensitive.
Grand Teton
From Mises:
Spources say that Ford authorized some federal disaster funds. Then a commission was set up to handle claims for damages. Since this was a federal project through and through, who else could be held accountable for the damages. The commission lasted into the eighties.
I think the point was that the locals took action when they could.
I realize that Mises is not the most objective of site, so i would be interested in in your (or anyone's) providing some evidence that their facts (that is, their facts) are wrong. I noticed, for instance, that other accounts put the death toll at 14.
It would also be interesting to argue their policy or philosophy statements, although you seem to agree with Mises that using the federal government to build a dam to benefit some potato farmers preferentially is not a good thing. (You are a libertarian, I presume from that.)
And I couldn't find any source to back your claim that the potato farmers were actually whining. Perhaps you have a source. Seems more likely to me that they were trying to gget legislators to pass laws beneficial to them. Seems to be what everyone does.
I was also unaware that the aid and funds sent by the feds to New Orleans was based on claims, as you state. I thought it was mostly disaster relief and FEMA money. Are there claims against the federal government in the matter? Any against the city or state government?
Wiki (sorry) says:
At the end of the Claims Program in January 1987, the Federal government had paid 7,563 claims for a total amount of $322 million.
So it took 11 years to settle less than 8,000 claims for 322 million. How many claims could be made on the katrina damaged lands? How long do you think that would take? Do you think that Katrina was the fault of the federal government? (We seem to be getting better at sending the hurricanes to Mexico!)
Here is the link to the Mises article,
which also discusses another disaster.
The point of the diary
was that Lt. Gov. Risch was claiming that Idaho didn't need the federal government in cases of disaster because they were tough and just hopped on their backhoes and went on with there lives, which was total BS. For him to suggest New Orleanians should quit whining was beyond contempt.
qui tacet consentire
Well, quaoar
I knew that was the point, and I partially agree, so I didn't touch that. I just meant to fill out the facts and invite a discussion on more philosophical grounds.
I'm not sure the remark was "beyond contempt." It seems to me to be just the type of knee-jerk political narrative remark unthinkingly made by all sides in our present atmosphere. It seems to be more of a political broadside than a remark specific to the actual matter. It props up the political image Idahoans have of themselves. It would be as if Ray Nagin were to say, referring to a tragedy elsewhere, "No use in them crying in there beer. They should do like we do in N'awleans. When we have a tragedy, we gather together and party. Then we go about making it better."
We live in an age where old style politics is increasingly impossible. In the old days, these sorts of remarks would be for local consumption. Today, nothing can be restricted to local consumption. I think you will find especially older politicians tripping on this continually. We can even see it, slightly mutated, in the famour Dean scream, where his tremendously rousing speech rallying the flagging spirits of his campaign workers was interpreted entirely differently outside the local population, that is, over the airwaves.
I used to do the same thing you are doing now
Giving people the benefit of the doubt, assuming their contemptible words were just overblown rhetoric.
Not any more.
qui tacet consentire
It's a matter of degree
and what one has decided he will be visibly morally outraged about.
We are at no loss for contemptable words by politicians and those who write on politics, like us, these days. But the fact is that we don't tend to get upset by the contemtableness of the statements, but by the politics of it. It has more to do with who says it, we check that, and THEN we rear up on our hjind legs and damn (oops, darn) the person.
For evidence of this phenominon, read any political blog. Even this one.
For instance, a comtemtable charge was made here completely without evidence that Bush wanted to keep the poor Blacks out of New orleans and remake it as a city for rich whites. You must admit that this is very much more of a contemtible statement than what this politician said. Yet I didn't see you jumping on it as contemtable. why not?
Often, I see the remarks you see as contemtable as the result of ignorance. We all shoot from the hip, and the statements you quoted had that quality.
I mean, Edwards' "we should ban SUVs" statement was pretty contemptable, considering that he has a couple, and the "we" was in no way meant to include rich people like him. But, you know, Edwards is sort of a walking land mine when it comes to statements like this. I don't want to hold it against him. I want to listen to his ideas.
I don't have time to hold things like political statements againt people. Besides, it's bad for the heart--and soul!
Moral outrage is, after all, the stock in trade of drama queens. Here, I like to think, we should be engged in political discussion, not moral outrage.
But I don't run the place.
Every god-damn time
CNN via Cunning realist
Cunning Realist goes on to highlight some charming quotes from the "International Sex guide" talking about Iraqi hookers. He concludes with this:
I came. I saw. I posted.
Veni, Vidi, Bitchy.
History of the Political Parties
I stumbled across this today and thought maybe other visual types might be interested as well. In addition to other charts, they have two charts that describe the evolution of the political parties.
I bought the one about music ;}
"Perplexity is the beginning of knowledge" -- Kahlil Gibran
Killed by whom?
That is the question. Should we just leave and let these murders continue?
Republican Maverick at Large
-4:Strongly Disagree; 0:Meh; +4:Strongly Agree
The question
Given that civilian deaths are up nearly 68%
this year over last year, maybe the real question is: Should we just stay and let these murders continue?
We are the environment. There is no distinction. What we do to the earth we do to ourselves. —David Suzuki
Brilliant question!!!
It is the economy, stupid.
Ah, but SL
Let's examine this "brilliant question" (and the opposite) more deeply.
Right after the "major combat operations" were over in May, 2003, I announced to the board I was doing most of my political blogging on and actually several others that we had accomplished our goal, and it was time to bring the troops home. The one or two libertarians on these boards tended to agree, as well as some conservatives.
But the lefies, spiritual and un-spiritual, universally condemned me for this proposal, and read me the international law on the duties of an occupying party. Sometimes these remarks wandered off (the law says that the occupier must guard the property and resources of the occupied country, but many "knew" that we were going to extract all the oil in iraq and bring it home). But the nut here was that international law said that it was the duty of the occupier under international law to provide security for the occupied people, and that we could not leave until we did so.
When it was leaked that the plan was to get down to 50,000 troops by that fall, the lefties went nuts, accusing the Bushies of being international criminals with no regard for their duties as occupiers or the iraqi people, who would be left with no government and no protection.
Instead, we were invited to set a criterion for leaving that depended not on what we did, but on what others did. I don't know the actual criterion that was set by those various lefties, but it was close to zero violence, and garnered arguments comparing the murder rate in New York City with that in Baghdad at the time.
Now, we have a much higher rate of civilian deaths, and i propose that the lefties' moral question is not so nicely framed as you have done. It is more a question of direction. Since this involves predicting the future, and, in fact, predicting the future behaviour of people other than ourselves, we can't know for sure even the direction the violence will take, let alone the amount.
In such a case, the dishonest are free to fix the predictions and the facts around their political position, and, of course, they have done so. Those who now say we should say often pad their arguments with absolute certainty that as soon as we leave, things will get worse. And those who think we should leave immediately often blithely pad their arguments with assurances that things will get better when we leave (a subspecies of the fallacious argument that we, the bad old USA, are causing all the violence in iraq).
The lesson, of course, is that we should never get into a situation where our moral course depends on the actions of others. Especially in a situation where the truly dishonest refuse to show enough moral clarity to pin the blame for the violence on those committing thein violence. (This is an old liberal habit, noted already in West Side Story: "I'm depraved on accounta I'm deprived.")
So, to me, the question is really: "Is our presence preventing any violence, injuries, and deaths among Iraqi civilians?" If the answer is "yes," then the questions is:
Should we stay and continue to prevent violence, injuries, and deaths among iraqi civilians?
Even if we can't get that number to zero.
If the answer is "no," then there is another question:
If we are making no difference in iraqi violence, injuries, and deaths, why should we stay?
How do we get good answers for the facts to decide these quetions? Certainly not by plumbing the opinions of those with pre-conceived political narratives. But how?
I agree.
I would only add that I believe that our (the US) intentions in Iraq are honorable in that we truly are there to help these people. As such I believe that we are most likely a net positive rather than a net negative.
YMMV.
To believe that we are a net negative one would have to believe that:
Republican Maverick at Large
-4:Strongly Disagree; 0:Meh; +4:Strongly Agree
Occupation breeds Suicidal Terrorism
Suicidal terrorism being an especially effective asymmetric warfare component. It's driven almost entirely by occupation, no matter how benign or noble the occupier considers their intentions. While not all occupation results in suicide terrorism, certainly most, if not all, suicide terrorism flows from occupation..
Most people like to cite Japan and Germany as examples where US occupation worked. Well, we had to nuke Japan to quell an almost certain suicidal terrorist insurgency that would have arisen if we would have invaded Japan conventionally. And Germany, the allied powers mercilessly bombed the German civilian population, occupied it with 4 allied powers and still had to ruthlessly put down a Nazi insurgency(that there was a Nazi insurgency that arose seems to be a little known fact).
And as far as we went into Iraq to "help" the Iraqi people, that's revisionist history. We went in for strictly perceived "National Security" reasons with the intent of Jay Garner to head a post-reconstruction effort as a boon to US Military contractors to rebuild iraq and then turn over the government eventually to a pro-western ahmed chalibi coalition as part of some grand Neocon design to further US and Israeli strategic interests.(Garner got canned after 3 months when he advocated that the Iraqis have immediate elections and control the post-reconstruction efforts). All that Bush Doctrine crap arose after the insurgency took root and the US needed an expedient reason to keep the military in place to protect the post-reconstruction investments/efforts.
Need to define you terms, I guess.
What do you mean by suicidal terrorism? Who are these suicidal terrorists supposedly terrorizing and to what end?
Are you suggesting that the insurgents, rather than attacking US forces, are instead targeting their own people? The disparity of Iraqi Civilian vs. US Military deaths would suggest that the Iraqi Civilian population is being systematically targeted.
I fail to understand how killing Iraqi Civilians is supposed to be harming the US.
Republican Maverick at Large
-4:Strongly Disagree; 0:Meh; +4:Strongly Agree
Define Suicidal Terrorism?
Explosive weapon/device carried by a human delivery agent against a civilian or militay target.
There's a multi-pronged insurgency in Iraq, sunni,shiite,and foreign jihadists. It's an obvious civil war that the US finds itslef in the middle of. Who do you think is the primary counter-insurgency police force in iraq? Come on...
So are you arguing that these civilians
are dying as a result of our presence in Iraq or are they dying because they are killing each other?
Because if they are dying because of our presence, that would be an argument that we should leave. If they are simply killing each other, then how is that our fault? And if they are simply killing each other I view that as an argument that we should stay and "do the right thing" by trying to help them since we can (assuming anyone can).
Republican Maverick at Large
-4:Strongly Disagree; 0:Meh; +4:Strongly Agree
The US is the counter-insurgency police force...
They are killing each other and they are killing US troops, who--under the surge--stepped up as the primary counter-insurgency force.
Furthermore Iraq is not a simple closed system, each of the these insurgencies--except for the jihadists-- have external state support. This is an intractible situation for the US. We should immediately withdraw all of our troops. It's unwinnable, whatever definition of victory you may adhere to.
this nonsense that al-qaeda would take over Iraq or have a base of operations if we left is laughable. They would be quickly be expelled/killed by the sunnis and shiites on 2 fronts. They wouldn't last very long. So the one thing our continued occupation in Iraq allows is a continued al-qaeda/jihadist insurgency to remain embedded.
ka1igula....
I think you are getting a lttle stretched out here.
You notion makes perfect sense for the counter-insurgency, especially a stupid one. Fact is, with cooperation, we would have been long gone. In fact, early, the conterinsurgency made it their mission to make sure we didn't leave.
In fact, from the beginning, I was amazed at how much we were outsmarted by al-Qaida in Iraq and the early pro-Baathists. I knew as soon as the UN pulled its mission that there would be huge problems. Had the UN had the guts to stay, with an even larger contingent, and backed up with some military muscle, the then natural instincts of most Iraqis for a peaceful transition would probably have damped the insurgency.
Further, from the beginning, the nsurgents went after the infrastructure. For the first couple of months, electricity was better than before, and many villages had electricity and clean water for the first time. But the insurgents continued to go after electrical lines and oil facilities and pipelines, something impossible to stop.
Soon, Riverbend was making an argument I also heard from some lefties here, that we could stop the insurgents if we wanted, but we either were blowing up stuff ourselves or were allowing the insurgents to do it as an excuse to stay longer. See, even Riverbend believed that if things had gone well, we would have left.
The single most effective thing was the blowing up of Shia Mosques, which lead to the sectarian violence. This too was the work of al-Qaida in Iraq.
Now, you seem to want to expand your insurgency notion to sectarian violence. So, onced agqain, let's look at your notion in reverse, at what it entails on the Iraqi side. You seem to be making an argument that the average Ahmad, when blowing up Shia, is saying to himself, "I have to blow the Shia up because the Americans are occupying the country. If I blow up enough Shia, the Americans will leave." Likewise for the Shia, when blowing up Sunni. I don't buy it.
Nor do I imply the entailed scenario, which I write from time to time. Our friend Ahmad gets up one morning and dons his belt. But his brother, Zayed, comes in and tells him that he doesn't have to go. Ahmad is insistent: "It is my appointed time to martyr myself in that Shia market. I must go." But Zayed has news. "No, my brother. The Americans left during the night. We no longer have to blow up our Shia bretheren." Ahmad takes off his belt.
Later, Ahmad and Zayed are in the streets celebrating when they come upon an old neighbor of theirs, who happens to be Shia. Ahmad speaks, "Ali, good to see you. I understand you were wounded by schrapnel when our cousin helped blow up the Mosque. Sorry about that." Ali replies, "No apologies necessary. Though we wept for our hundreds of dead, we knew that you did it to get rid of the Americans. Sad, but it was for a good cause. By the way, I am sorry that your father was killed when my group attacked your mosque." Ahmad relies, "Zayed and I bear you no ill will. We too realized that you were only killing us to get rid of the Americans. And see, it worked! Today the=y slither away like the cowards they are, like soft aprents who can bear to see their children fight among themselves. Certainly our Muslim bretheren around the world will learn from, this example, ands start killing each other wherever the Americans are. That should drive them out."
When the Americans started showing up at Iraqi blogs after the war, they often had to be reminded that iraqis were not stupid children to whom xcivilization was unknown. The hammurabi blog found it necessary to give a loing history of civiliation in Iraq. Particularly disliked was the purely prejudicial statement that Iraqis weere "unprepared for democracy." As if they needed to be trained by the likes of us latecomers.
Unfortunately, OI think your analysis has unwittingly wandered into the same territory. I don't think that iraqis think that killing Shia with suicidal attacks is the method for driving the Americans out. I think rather that most of the violence you see today in iraq is carried out willingly by iraqi actors against iraqis for reasons that have nothing to do with the occupation. It has much more to do with the al-Qaida in Iraq's persistence in seeking to rekindle sectarian hostilities. The fact that our people over there had no idea about the history of the hostilities didn't help.
In the early days after the war, optimism was high, and most bloggers pointed out that throughout central Iraq, particularly around Baghdad, tribes tended to be mixed Shia and Sunni, and many bloggers referred to cousins who were the opposite of them. They actually said that it was unjlikely that sectarian violence would arise unless it was specifically sparked by violence. many bloggers compared the Sunni-Shia divide in Islam presently as similar to the Catholic-Protestant divide of today.
I'm not so sure. They haven't been expelled from Britain, France, Spain, or any other place we know of. This is a secretive, terrorist organization. Believe me, they arehard to expel. Remember, we in the US with the best resources in the world couldn't find Eric Rudolf. If he hadn't gotten complacent and careless, he's still be out there.
To make the argument more precise...
American interventionism abroad is the cause not the cure for suicide terrorism. Robert Pape's exhaustive studies on the subject link 8 out of every 10 suicide terrorist attacks worldwide the past 25 years to American military operations overseas. Pape is not some lefty. His work is so rigorous his database is now used by the US government and he get's his funding from the Department of Defense.
If you want to make a War on Terror argument for continued occupation and military counter-insurgency operations in Iraq, the data does not support that assertion. If you want to make a humane argument to continue to use the American Military as a counter insurgency force in Iraq to prevent the obvious civil war that would ensue then expect more suicide terrorist attacks against our troops.
And I think you are misrepresenting my argument that I'm attributing American occupation of Iraq as the motivation of sectarian strife. hardly...that goes back around 1500 years. No, our presence there--in toppling a central government--merely allowed inevitable asymmetric warfare to ignite the underlying historical hostilities. At present, there are so many various insurgency groups with different ties and loyalties, it's absurd to try to deduce any specific motivation behind any one specific attack, especially given we have changed loyalties so many times. It seems to be in constan flux. The only constant is that the US is the primary counter insurgency force and the primary protector and builder of the infrastructure. That makes our troops a perpetual target from any given front on any given day.
Finally, I don't accept the notion that al-qaeda in Iraq is driving the sectarian violence. You keep missing the more important point that it is external state support of the insurgencies, not al-qaeda--that perpetuates the quagmire. Nevertheless, it's the American presence itself which allows a role for al-qaeda in Iraq.
What our withdrawal would actually do would be to likely break any alliance between Syria and Iran. Without the US counter-insurgency surge taking on the sunni and al-qaeda insurgents, the shiite militias--with external Iranian support--would begin to brutalize the jihadists in retaliation for their terrorist attacks. Because of the threat of shiite dominance, you would see Sunni governments like Syria, Jordan, and Saudi Arabia become directly involved in supporting the Sunni Militias and sunni warlords, effectively displacing any need for them of any aid of the Jihadists because of previously dealing with the Americans(plus, I don't think Jordan, Syria, nor Saudi Arabia are too particularly interested in propping up a military insurgency tied to al-qaeda, which would have the goal of overthrowing them as well).
If al-qaeda in iraq is your concern, withdraw US forces entirely, not partially. It won't last 12 months in Iraq as an insurgency force.
Europe has a muslim assimilation problem, not so much an al-qaeda problem per se. The United States has neither a muslim assimilation problem or an internal al-qaeda problem. there is no internal al-qaeda in the United states.
It boggles the mind
the lack of common sense re the US Iraq strategy.
I appreciate your well written analysis, here. I have also heard Robert Pape speak about Iraq and was very impressed.
It IS the US occupation that is the thorn, constantly stirring up the hornets nest of terrorism. When a country is being occupied by a superior military force the only way they have to equalize the imbalance of force is terrorism. The common denominater for active terrorists is a US military base on forieign soil. And like it or not, the reality is those who fight 'the Great Power' are seen as heroes. I especially liked Papes proposal for off shore balance. Removing military bases from in country and putting a swift response team on the sea to be used only if necessary.
If you take the time to check into it, the US is being led around by the nose, by bin Laden's political strategy, because he understands the mindset of US leaders and he is patient. Slowly but surely the US is being stretched to the breaking point, militarily and economically. But the pols insist we are making progress, or that we are 'fightin em over there so we don't have to fight em over here'.
I find it very very disturbing the propaganda blitz that some call the 'news', that the surge is working...... give us more money! Ack!!!
And by pushing this meme with Iran, the US is further radicalizing the young secular more pro-western Iranians, a gift to Irans fanatical fundamentalist leaders.
It is the economy, stupid.
This appears to be a common affliction for you.
Republican Maverick at Large
-4:Strongly Disagree; 0:Meh; +4:Strongly Agree
Should I start
writing my GBCW dairy now.
MS said I was insane and can't read. You say my mind is boggled.
I give up.
It is the economy, stupid.
Oh come on.
It was just such an obvious setup I couldn't resist. Just joking after all.
Hey, if you post it over on dkos maybe they'll mobilize and send some friends over to cheer you up! :)
Republican Maverick at Large
-4:Strongly Disagree; 0:Meh; +4:Strongly Agree
slashing wrists
now, thanks to you and your psuedo intellectual bs.
I am a victim of your elitist Republican hate.
GBCW
It is the economy, stupid.
I hope you are not serious
I for one enjoy your posts and find them thoughtful.
You are very passionate, and your style always reminded me of what Hélène Cixous
calls 'Écriture féminine
', in which "Écriture féminine places experience before language, and privileges non-linear, cyclical writing that evades 'the discourse that regulates the phallocentric system.'"
Please reconsider and stay. I think you are a vital voice here.
It is so very....
vexing, coping with these logistic neanderthals. At first I thought they were interesting, now they seem dull, flattened to a line from which they must not deviate, the rules of the PhD. I suppose it is a necessary evil..... :+)
But I think you have saved me from the throes of drowning myself, slitting my wrists in dispair, throwing myself in the fire, so my flesh is cleansed, my imagination renewed....with your links and your precious quote.
I shall now call myself a rhetorician, and pursue the cuclical writing that evades the discourse that regulates the phallocentric system.....! But first I must run to look it up to see what it means.....! (Laughter)
I have been seriously annoyed, and was being melodramatic ala that madmanscientist, the most irrational, faux rational man, emotional man I have ever come across over the wires.
You are truly chivalrous coming to the rescue of a damsel in distress surrounded by all these apes with oversized linguistic lobes, who think they are too clever by half, with their use of verbage, that substitue multi-syllabled words for common sense!
Damn thee Plato. Damn thee and your sophisms.
But Specter, you are my liferaft, a refreshment in this sea of abuse...... , she feigned, holding her hand to her mindboggled little forehead. A friend.
It is the economy, stupid.
Sounds like a scene from Gone with the Wind!
I can see Scarlet so clearly in this ...
Republican Maverick at Large
-4:Strongly Disagree; 0:Meh; +4:Strongly Agree
You've been
there when I needed a friend during my dark days too.
Take a vacation if you need it, but don't leave us altogether. :-)
Gee, Specter
Sounds like my wives' arguments for the necessity of my listening to and taking seriously their PMS rants!
Plural?
Might say something about your listening skills (just kidding).
It's actually an interesting theory. Why do we prefer the linear over the non-linear or circular*? Perhaps it is just a form of patriarchy.
*An interesting side note to state that the 'cyclical' (or at least non-linear) is getting much more respect in academic circles (ha) due to environmentalism and feminism. In literature, most of the most impressive authors of the last 100 years used non-linear narrative styles for example.