Cato Institute ridiculous "analysis" of electric vehicles
Crossposted on DailyKos
Cato Institute "energy expert" Jerry Taylor took on electric vehicles yesterday trying to prove that fuel costs for vehicles with electric engines is greater than fuel costs for gasoline engines. In the end, however, all Taylor proved was that there's not much "think" in his "tank"...
Taylor's piece criticizes a US News and World Reports article regarding plug-in electric vehicles. He attempts to debunk a fact contained in that article which the author obtained from a plug-in vehicle advocacy group:
In an article
posted the other day at U.S. News & World Report, Marianne Lavelle reports on the state of affairs in the renewable energy industry. While the story she tells is a good one, she makes two stunning errors that lead me to question every other figure reported in the article.
...The plug-in advocacy group CalCars estimates that with today’s electricity prices, drivers would be paying the equivalent of 75 cents per gallon [were they to run their cars on electricity rather than gasoline].
Again, really? Electricity prices last week averaged 9.57 cents per kilowatt hour. Given that there are 3,400 BTUs in a kilowatt hour of electricity and about 124,000 BTUs in a gallon of gasoline, simple math dictates that it would cost almost $3.50 to buy enough electricity to get the same amount of energy we get from a gallon of gasoline.
Renewable Energy BS at U.S. News & World Report
Jerry Taylor, Senior Fellow, The Cato Institute
Taylor's "simple math" is okay, but it's a classic case of garbage in, garbage out. The relevant metric is not the cost per unit of energy provided by electricity as opposed to gasoline, which is what Jerry Taylor calculated. The relevant metric is the one that CalCars provided-- that is, the cost per an amount of electricity that it takes to move an electric car down the road the same distance as a gallon of gas would in a car with a gasoline engine.
The fact that Taylor totally ignored is that electric engines are much much more energy efficient than gasoline engines -- electric engines are capable of performing something like three times more mechanical work per unit of energy consumed than a gasoline engine. A gasoline engine can only turn about 30% of the total energy contained in the fuel into mechanical work. The rest of the energy in the fuel cannot be harnessed by the engine to move the car. Electric engines are much more energy efficient, and are able to turn something more like 90% of the energy in the electricity into mechanical work.
Think of the heat and noise that a gasoline engine produces as compared to an electric engine... all that extra heat and so forth produced by the gasoline engine is generated by the energy content of the fuel, but it does not move the car down the road.
Toss in some of the other differences between gasoline and electric engines-- such as the fact that electric engines don't consume energy idling while the car is at rest like gasoline engines do-- and it's easy to see how an electric car might cost around "75 cents per 'gallon'"-- exactly as CalCars claims, and not the equivalent of $3.50 per gallon, as Taylor claims.
So Taylor's "simple math" just doesn't cut it.
But Taylor, leaking oil and running on empty, tries to drive this lemon to the finish line by concluding his piece with a triumphant lecture to the reader:
Reporters have got to stop taking figures at face value from policy activists with political axes to grind. And editors have got to start asking reporters to independently back their numbers up. Until that happens, don’t bother with the print media. The “facts” bandied about therein are a crap shoot. Some are correct, some are not, but you never know which.
Oops... Maybe people ought to stop taking figures at face value from think tanks with political axes to grind.
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Comments :
Cost of electricy...
is to a great degree the cost of the capital expenditure of generating plants and transmission lines. This is a fixed cost, that increases only when peak demand requires it.
Electric cars, being a battery technology, are natural off peak users, so the cost we are paying now for KWH, which has a provision for new capital construction is not an accurate reflection of true economic cost.
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Note to Skymutt:
Turns out you were right about posting my diary "Life and Death in America" on Dailykos. In spite of its challenging left truisms I received some sincere responses including the last one from a physician who confirmed my thesis.
arodb
Even given what you say, I would imagine that the widespread use of electric cars would tend to put upward pressure on the price of electricity, and would tend to ease the price of gasoline (not that I have the illusion that it will ever actually go down significantly-- just that it would be less than it would be if there weren't any electrical cars). There have been many indications that our electrical grid can't even reliably handle current peak demand. Even if many people only charge their cars at night, some will be charging during the day also, and that will put stress on an already overburdened system. New infrastructure will be needed.
Also, to analyze the true cost of fueling electric cars vs. gasoline cars in detail, there's so many things to consider, for instance, gasoline prices have a significant tax included. Many other factors are involved. Even if current electricity prices yield fuel costs the equivalent of 75 cents per gallon, I tend to doubt that electic cars would really provide drivers with a four-fold fuel cost advantage over gasoline engined cars in practice if adopted widely.
Glad you got a meaningful response to your health care diary-- I went over there and read thru the responses. I may have mentioned this before, but I recall a late night diary several months ago from a frustrated nurse who made many of the same points that you did with respect to the care given to some of her terminally ill patients, and she had gotten a very thoughtful response, though I do not recall that she was doing so in the context of a warning about the feasibility of universal health care, an argument which will be a tough sell to most progressives.
skymutt: accept no substitutes!
Good point, and then there is always this to consider...
More here...
Furthermore...
Great Spirits Have Always Encountered Violent Opposition From Mediocre Minds...~ A. Einstein
As I've said before
odds are anything printed by Cato isn't worth the time to read. They're on the same level as Heritage when it comes to being mindless propaganda machines.
I came. I saw. I posted.
Veni, Vidi, Bitchy.
electric cars
Harmful effects of global warming started to be evident wherever in the world. Many groups and organizations now are proposing several ways on at least how to prevent the massive effect of the phenomenon. Car makers like Chrysler launched its eco-friendly car called the peapod car. The peapod car is an all electric vehicle made by Chrysler, which is lauded by some and lamented as a hyper expensive golf cart by others. It may not be the electric vehicle worth getting a payday loan to look into, however. It costs $12,500, has a range of 30 miles and can only go 25 mph. It also has a cool feature in that it can be unlocked by a downloadable software application on the iPhone or iPod of the owner, all along with a smiley face looking grill. Still, with such a limited range and speed, installment loans for the peapod car seem like a stretch.
As long as we're not generating the electricity
with coal. Everyone should go nuclear and the increased demand for industry professionals should put tons of upward pressure on my salary.
I am shocked to learn that the Cato Institute "experts" are not familiar with Carnot cycles.
Yet another reason the best informed citizen journalism beats any kind of traditional media. In today's complex society journalists have an impossible threefold task:
Of course, libertarian hacks never worried about 1. or 2. to begin with.