Major flaws in the Electoral College
So now that we know what the Electoral College is, what do we think about it?
Position
The Electoral College in its current state has two major flaws, which may be ameliorated by changing the system but we are probably better off scrapping it entirely and going to a straight popular vote for president.
flaws in the EC
As it happens I can excerpt one sentence from the article I linked to above which demonstrates both flaws:
A Wyoming voter counts more than 3x as much as a California voter, but only if he votes in the majority (for their state).
To see the reasoning behind this statement see the linked article.
The first flaw:
A Wyoming voter counts more than 3x as much as a California voter, but only if he votes in the majority (for their state).
The first flaw is one of disproportionate representation. Because of the mathematics of how Electors are assigned not everyone's vote has equal weight. One of the more reprehensible compromises made at the creation of this country was the so called "three fifths compromise," which allowed Southern states to count their slaves as 3/5th of a "real" person for purposes of establishing representation.
But Californians are counted as less than 1/3rd of the value of a citizen of Wyoming currently. This is the most extreme example (comparing the most populous state to the least populous state). Other comparisons are not so stark and yet any deviation from the basic concept that all votes are equal is extremely troubling.
Now there are simple ways to fix the EC to remove this flaw. By simply setting the number of Electors to be directly proportionate to the population of the state (or district for DC) this flaw can be greatly diminished. There may still be some small problems due to the granularity of the apportionment, i.e. if you have one elector for every 50,000 people then voters in a state with 100,000 people are worth "more" than voters in a state with 125,000 people. The only way to avoid this and have a vote that is truly proportionate is to go to direct popular elections.
The second flaw:
A Wyoming voter counts more than 3x as much as a California voter, but only if he votes in the majority (for their state).
This is by far the more troubling issue. Whereas the first problem was one of disproportionate representation this is a matter of explicit disenfranchisement.
There are two ways that a person can be said to be disenfranchised. In the first they can be directly prevented from voting. In the second their vote can simply not matter. If a voter's votes are shredded rather than counted then they are disenfranchised. It doesn't matter that they went through the motions of voting, what matters is whether their makes any difference to the contest. That is not to say that they must win the contest by the power of their vote but if you subtract their vote and nothing changes then they were never really voting, and were in fact disenfranchised.
Consider these two cases
Jane Smith goes to the voting booth in November. She casts a vote for a governor candidate who it turns out loses. She also casts a vote for a presidential candidate who fails to take her state.
In the case of the vote she made for governor her side failed to carry the day, but her vote in small part determined the winner's margin of victory. She can say "I didn't win but my vote mattered, without me my candidate would have lost worse." This is not the case for the presidential race. Because she voted for a candidate who did not take the state her vote was entirely irrelevant.
Don't believe me? Here is how it has played out in real life:
In Oregon in 2000 47% of the population turned out to vote for Bush. That’s some 700,000 voters. 47% also turned out for Gore. Gore won the popular vote by less than .5% of the total vote (7,000 votes) and so got Oregon’s 7 elctoral votes. Now what would have happened if every single one of the Bush voters had stayed home? Exact same situation. Gore still gets the 7 electoral votes, and the electoral votes are the only ones that matter in deciding the presidential contest.
You cannot say that the loss of some 700,000 votes to bush would change the contest one whit. Bush would still have gotten 271 EVs and Gore still would have gotten 266 EVs. Very nearly half the electorate in Oregon was disenfranchised by the Electoral system; their votes mattered not at all. In every state the winner take all system of the EC disenfranchises thousands every presidential election year.
There are possible methods to lesson this effect. Rather than a winner take all the Electors can be apportioned based on the popular vote of the state. Another option is to have all state Electors vote for the winner of the national popular vote. The former option reduces the amount of disenfranchisement but due, again, to the granularity of having so few represent so many, it does not remove it entirely. The latter option is the best option that retains the EC, but since it makes the EC entirely redundant why bother?
Conclusion
The Electoral College has two grave flaws in its ability to support the democratic ideals of this nation. Those flaws can be ameliorated in part by making changes to the system or they can be alleviated entirely by scrapping it and moving to a direct popular election for President. A popular vote system is already in place and is indeed already tallied every year. By scrapping the EC we can both save ourselves some small amount of money as well as make the system better as a whole.
Fixing the Electoral College will be as difficult as scrapping it (requiring an amendment either way). That being the case there is no reason not to go for the big win. This is not a fight where incrementalism will work.
Lastly under principles of federalism ideas are tried out at the state level for use by other states and the federal government. I know of no state that does not have direct election of their governors. If the system is universally accepted at the state level it is time to deem it a success and bring it into the federal govenment.
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Comments :
I'll try to cruxlux
some of the various points in these two diaries for tomorrow.
I came. I saw. I posted.
Veni, Vidi, Bitchy.
Just something that you didn't touch on
but might not be common knowledge to all.
How a state apportions votes is up to the state. For instance, Nebraska and Maine do use proportional voting in apportioning electoral votes.
I don't have a definitive opinion on the EC. Incremental to your arguments, I can see it's usefulness in that it discourages sectionalism, but at the same time, it basically has entrenched the two party system as Brendan mentioned elsewhere.
I thought I remembered
a couple states having changed their apportionment system but I couldn't remember which and had a hard time finding (found lots of stuff about 1800s elections, fat lot of good that was).
Looking it up now that I know which ones they are (danke shon ATQB!) Nebraska uses a system where the state popularity winner gets two electors and then the winner for each district gets one elector. Maine apparently uses the same system, and actually now that I think about it I think it is called "the Maine system" so they were probably doing it before Nebraska.
I should point out that that system fixes neither flaw in the system I outline above.
I came. I saw. I posted.
Veni, Vidi, Bitchy.
Really well done! (nt)
Ssshhh
Do not feed Tlaloc's ego. It is unnecessary and may even upset this delicate balance. He seems to have rediscovered his sense of humor and is writing sensibly with only the barest modicum of sardonic undertones.
I really had to wrestle with myself to keep from writing a "oh my god what a fabulous set of diaries" post myself. Seriously. Took hours.
And yes, I am in such awe, this is the best comment I can come up with at this time. If my comment must be superfluous and frivolous, I prefer this variety ;}
"The human race divides politically into those who want people to be controlled and those who have no such desire." --R. Heinlein
thanks for the heads-up
Ahem. "Tlaloc, this piece was okay. It wasn't a waste of time to read it."
No, no, it was really good! (Consequences be damned.)
Though, Purpleface, the notice was much appreciated. It's always good to know what I'm dealing with. :)
TOO LATE!
My head now requires its own zip code.
(Purpleface has always been quietly jealous of my usually dry sardonic wit.)
I came. I saw. I posted.
Veni, Vidi, Bitchy.
disproportionate influence in government
I think that both of your criticisms boil down to being a problem of disproportionate influence in government, in which case the effect of the EC is insignificant when compared with many other aspects of government in which influence is disproportionate to popular support. If we think that disproportionate influence is a problem, we need to first address it at many other levels before the EC becomes a meaningful bottleneck.
First, there's the basic problem of majoritarian government, where the majority sets the policy and is not required to pay heed to the wishes of individuals outside of the majority.
Second, our government is run by the majority of representatives--all formal influence rests in the hands of the elected representatives and the regular people have no direct influence.
Third, our representatives are elected by a plurality of voters, meaning that any voter outside of that plurality is ignored.
Given these three distortions of proportional influence in our government, I think the EC is the least of our worries.
P.S. All of this assumes that strict proportionality is ideal for a governmental system, which is a questionable proposition in itself.
In my expert opinion, you should do what I tell you to do.