Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac-- Let the fingerpointing begin!

crossposted from Source of Title  

 

Ohio Congressman Michael Oxley (R-Mansfield) has an axe to grind with critics who blame Congress for failing to pass reforms that may have averted the need for this week's government takeover of mortgage giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.  As Oxley sees it, he did his part by crafting a reform bill in 2005 and getting it passed by the House of Representatives. 

From the Financial Times :

[Oxley] fumes about the criticism of his House colleagues. “All the handwringing and bedwetting is going on without remembering how the House stepped up on this,” he says. “What did we get from the White House? We got a one-finger salute.”

The House bill, the 2005 Federal Housing Finance Reform Act, would have created a stronger regulator with new powers to increase capital at Fannie and Freddie, to limit their portfolios and to deal with the possibility of receivership.

...

“We missed a golden opportunity that would have avoided a lot of the problems we’re facing now, if we hadn’t had such a firm ideological position at the White House and the Treasury and the Fed,” Mr Oxley says.

But a look back at the efforts to pass that bill calls into question Oxley's version of events.

First, a little bit of background... Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac's core business involves buying mortgages from originators, repackaging the mortgages into bond-like instruments called Mortgage-Backed Securities (MBS), and either selling the MBSs to other institutions or keeping them in their own investment portfolios.  To finance the purchase of mortgages, Fannie and Freddie issue debt in the form of bonds.

Fannie and Freddie had unique advantages afforded to them by their government charters as Government Sanctioned Entities (GSEs) that no other private firms who might wish to compete with them had.  In particular, they were able to borrow money at much lower interest rates than other institutions with similar credit ratings, because of a perception that the government would step in and make Fannie and Freddie's creditors whole if they ever failed-- an "implied guarantee" which had never been disavowed by the government and had been actively fostered at times.  This perception caused investors to consider Fannie and Freddie's bonds to be nearly as risk-free as Treasury bonds, which carry the "full faith and credit" of the United States.  Investors were willing to accept a much lower interest rate for Frannie and Freddie bonds in return for that kind of safety.

In and of itself, this was probably all looked upon as a net positive by most people in Washington.  After all, it was Fannie and Freddie's chartered mission to promote homeownership through the wide availability of mortgages to the lower and middle classes, and the borrowing advantages that they had helped keep interest rates on mortgages low.  The attractive rates on mortgages were helping push homeownership rates to all-time highs.

But by 2005, many folks were becoming concerned by the sheer amount of debt Fannie and Freddie were issuing, and the purposes for which the debt was being used.  The companies' combined debt was over $2 trillion, and total assets were a bare 5% or so above liabilities as the companies operated at near the minimum amount of capital required by statute.  And their asset portfolios not only included mortgage and mortgage-backed securities, but also complex derivatives used to hedge against the risk of interest rate changes and other business risks.  In fact, Fannie and Freddie were getting most of their profits from their own huge investment portfolios, not through securitizing mortgages and selling the securities.  Experts were questioning the purpose of these huge portfolios and worried about the implications to the taxpayer if the value of these portfolios should suddenly collapse and cause the GSEs to become insolvent, requiring the government to step in and make good on its implied guarantees on their debts.

Reform was needed-- badly.  Existing regulatory bodies did not have a sufficient statutory mandate to monitor Fannie and Freddie and rein in any excesses.  For starters, Fannie and Freddie's charter allowed them immunity from the rules of the Security and Exchange Commission (SEC).  In other words, Fannie and Freddie didn't have to regularly report their finances to the public the way that other publicly-traded companies had to.  Instead, Fannie and Freddie were accountable only to a special oversight bureau within HUD, the Office of Federal Housing Enterprise Oversight, (OFHEO).  The effectiveness of this setup came under scrutiny after OFHEO issued a report in 2004 which revealed that Fannie Mae executives had been cooking its books all the way back to 1998 in order to fraudulently give the appearance of meeting profitability targets, so that the executives could max out on their performance bonuses.  The fraud netted Fannie Mae CEO Franklin Raines up to $52.8 million in bonuses

Fannie Mae tried to steamroll its underpowered regulator all along the way.  At one point, Fannie Mae instigated a retailatory HUD investigation against the OFHEO regulators who were looking into their accounting fraud in order to undermine the credibility of the regulator.  They had one of their lobbyists draft a letter for Sen. Christopher "Kit" Bond (R-Mo) to send to HUD and request the investigation.  Bond sent the letter on to HUD under his own name, made public statements directed at getting the lead regulator sacked, and was rewarded for his efforts with tidy campaign contributions from Mr. Raines and other Fannie Mae execs. 

The reward for the brave OFHEO regulators who exposed the fraud of the mighty Fannie Mae were much more elusive--  Senate appropriators tried to strip OFHEO of its funding.

With legislators like Bond in the hip pocket of the GSEs, it was hard to imagine that Congress would ever be able to pass the needed reforms.  Enter Oxley and the bill he was sponsoring, The Federal Housing Finance Reform Act of 2005 .  On the surface, the bill appeared to contain needed reforms.  It had language to create a new, improved regulatory body to replace OFHEO.  It required the companies to register their stock with the SEC. 

But for the most part, the bill was a flawed and toothless giveaway to the powerful GSEs.  The bill expanded the statutory maximum loan amount to allow the GSEs to take over the jumbo market.  It mandated "affordable housing funds" which could be allocated at the discretion of the GSEs, amounting to a slush fund that could be lavished on the districts of friendly legislators.  There was a loophole which basically gave the GSEs the authority to expand their business beyond the secondary mortgage market and into any business that it deemed would "minimize the cost of housing finance"... some critics claimed that this vague language in the bill would allow the GSEs to enter into the title insurance or appraisal business -- clearly far from their original purpose.  A flaw in the bill would have caused a year-long gap in oversight between the shuttering of OFHEO and the establishment of the new regulator.

Meanwhile, the bill neither increased capital requirements nor set a cap on allowed portfolio size-- two key risk-reducing reforms that the Fed and Treasury department had repeatedly stressed in testimony before Oxley and his peers in Congress.  The regulator was given the authority to impose increased capital requirements and/or limits on portfolio size only if they could show that the GSE's capital position or portfolio was a threat to its soundness.  Critics surmised that this limited authority would not allow quick action by the regulator to avert the failure of a GSE.

Rather than a tough reform bill, the bill was basically a dream come true for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.  They'd get to continue to grow their portfolios to juice their earnings; they'd have a new affordable housing slush fund to reward legislators who played ball; their new regulator wouldn't have much sharper teeth than the old one; they wouldn't have to raise capital or sell assets to meet stricter capital requirements; and they'd get a year without much of anyone looking over their shoulders.

Even the not-so-swift-sometimes Bush Administration recognized that this was not the medicine that was needed for the GSEs.  The White House's Office of Management and Budget issued the one fingered salute to Oxley and the other supporters of the bill:

The Administration has long called for legislation to create a stronger, more effective regulatory regime to improve oversight of Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, and the Federal Home Loan Banks ("housing government-sponsored enterprises" or "housing GSEs") and appreciates the considerable efforts of Chairman Oxley and Chairman Baker in crafting H.R. 1461. However, H.R. 1461 fails to include key elements that are essential to protect the safety and soundness of the housing finance system and the broader financial system at large. As a result, the Administration opposes the bill.

The regulatory regime envisioned by H.R. 1461 is considerably weaker than that which governs other large, complex financial institutions. This regime is of particular concern given that Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac currently hold only about half of the capital of comparable financial institutions. In order for a financial regulator to be respected and credible, it must have the authority and ability to adjust capital requirements of the institutions it oversees as circumstances dictate to ensure prudential operations. An effective oversight regime must also provide for clear review of business activities to ensure the integrity of the housing finance system and consistency with the GSEs' housing mission. The Administration does not believe that the housing GSEs should be exempt from these important standards of world-class regulation.

In hindsight, the list of reforms the White House was requesting seems just about exactly the ones that might have actually worked. 

One more item of note that might shed some light on this flawed legislative effort at "reform"-- Oxley had been a recipient of the largesse of the GSEs in the past:

Robert Mitchell Delk, Freddie Mac’s chief Washington lobbyist, hosted a dinner fundraiser for Rep. Michael Oxley at the upscale DC restaurant Galileo.

Perhaps Oxley was making a good faith effort at reform, perhaps not; when you're accepting these kind of favors from institutions you are charged with reforming, it has to call into question your loyalites.  So if Oxley wants to put himself up on a pedestal and point fingers, perhaps he'd like to answer to some criticism of his own actions while he's at it.

Comments :

Comment viewing options

Select your preferred way to display the comments and click "Save settings" to activate your changes.

Good piece

Considering how everything went to hell anyway, though, are you saying that if the Oxley bill had passed the situation would have deteriorated sooner? Or more catastrophically?

Come, my friends. 'Tis not too late to seek a newer world -- Tennyson

…………

You can never be sure

...but my conclusion, based on my understanding of the situation, is that the Oxley bill would probably not have measurably improved the probability of Fannie and Freddie surviving the kind of sharp downturn in housing that we've seen.  As I've indicated above, the bill did not substantially address any of the factors that led to the failures, in particular, there was neither a cap placed on the amount of debt Fannie and Freddie could issue for the purpose of accumulating their own investment portfolios, nor was their new regulator given free rein to set such a cap.  And it was the size of these portfolios, the high ratio of leverage used to finance them, and the collapse in the value of the assets in the portfolios which caused Fannie and Freddie to fail.  

It is possible, I suppose, that the new regulator could have been someone who sought to aggressively walk the line in terms of exercising authority in some gray areas left by the bill, in which case things might have been different, but that doesn't seem likely.  As we have seen, unless otherwise required by their statutory mandate, regulators tend to lock barn doors after the horses have gone.

 

 

………… parent

Thanks

It's too bad there wasn't more effort made to impose reasonable regulations, or I guess alternatively to divorce the fed from the implicit obligation to back them with taxpayer dollars. Easy to say in hindsight, I suppose.

Come, my friends. 'Tis not too late to seek a newer world -- Tennyson

………… parent

Nitpick

Oxley is (R-Findlay), not (R-Mansfield). Rich people don't live in Mansfield.

I recall my grandpa complaining about Oxley to no end when he was in Congress.

I never broke the law; I am the law! -- George W. Bush Judge Dredd
I'm listening to...

…………

Well

Since Mansfield was in his district, and is a bigger town than Findlay, and he had an office there, and that's also where I work, I associate him with Mansfield and will stand by Mansfield on a technicality :-).  Those town designations can be used to identify the location of districts, and don't necessarily have to identify whatever podunk town they live in.  Ron Paul, for instance, is listed in various sources as R-Galveston, R-Victoria, and R-Lake Jackson (that's where he lives).

………… parent

Football is the only thing that matters

Podunker

Mansfiled Tygers

Current Ohio State back-up safety, Jamario O'neal is also from Mansfield, but he "decided" to transfer to Cleveland Glenville after his playing "options" at Mansfield Senior became "limited."

In our society, people are rewarded for pretending to be certain about things they're clearly not certain about. -- Sam Harris,

………… parent

pshaw at Roethlisberger

Steeler scum :-p

Mansfield, on the other hand, has a skyline , is the center of an official census-designated metropolitan area (Findlay is not) and is actually big enough to have suburbs !

………… parent

Mansfield is crap

The real money is on Ontario. In fact when I was in high school and we went to "Mansfield" to see movies or get a bite to eat we were almost always in Ontario. We always referred to Ontario as "Mansfield".

We did not have a name for Mansfield proper because there was never any reason to go there. ;-)

If you recall my rantings about Perkins township here in Sandusky, the analogy is very apt:

Sandusky:Perkins Twp.::Mansfield:Ontario

Bear that in mind the next time I complain about Perkins.

I never broke the law; I am the law! -- George W. Bush Judge Dredd
I'm listening to...

………… parent

The GSE Blame Game

Thanks for this useful summary.

I've been reading up on this issue because a friend who is a McCain supporter was claiming today that McCain tried to reform Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac (the "Government Sponsored Enterprises," or GSEs) back in 2005 and Obama voted against reform, and I've been trying to evaluate the claim.

This Fortune article from 2005 and this more recent overview from Slate show that the nasty stuff started to hit the fan back in 2002, when Arthur Andersen's role in the Enron scandal caused Freddie Mac to hire Pricewaterhouecoopers to step in as auditors, and they uncovered what eventually became $5B worth of write-offs (and the firing of the then-CEO). There were both Democrats (e.g., Lawrence Summers, Gary Gensler, and Armando Falcon) and Republicans (e.g., Chuck Hagel, John Snow [and his boss, George W. Bush], Paul Gigot) who incurred the wrath of the GSEs by advocating reform of various kinds, and there were both Democrats (e.g., Jim Johnson and Frank Raines of Fannie Mae, Barney Frank) and Republicans (e.g., Bob Bennett of Utah, Kit Bond of Missouri) who played crucial roles in staying to stave off reform of various kinds.

McCain did support (and eventually sponsor) the 2005 Hagel Senate bill (which sought the creation of "world-class" regulator), which was the solution that the Bush administration preferred over the Republican Oxley 2005 House bill. There are a number of articles at the American Enterprise Institute's website written by Peter J. Wallison and Alex J. Pollock, among others, that advocate the Hagel bill's approach and criticize the Oxley bill's approach. My question: did the Hagel/McCain/Bush Administration/AEI advocacy of the "world-class" regulator approach stem purely from the civic-mindedness of its advocates? I confess that I grow skeptical when I see that particular cast of characters excitedly advocating the creation of a "world class regulator."

Regardless, our government failed to enact either the Hagel "world class regulator" bill or the Oxley "something less than world class regulator" bill, so now everyone is free, as you say, to let the fingerpointing begin.

As you might expect, at the time, Ron Paul , opposed both bills. His statement in opposition to Oxley's HR 1461 contains some language that, in hindsight, looks pretty prescient:

"Ironically, by transferring the risk of widespread mortgage defaults to the taxpayers through government subsidies and convincing investors that all is well because a 'world-class' regulator is ensuring the GSE's soundness, the government increases the likelihood of a painful crash in the housing market. This is because the special privileges of Fannie and Freddie have distorted the housing market by allowing Fannie and Freddie to attract capital they could not attract under pure market conditions ... the government's policy of diverting capital into housing creates a short-term boom in housing. Like all artificially created bubbles, the boom in housing prices cannot last forever. When housing prices fall, homeowners will experience difficulty as their equity is wiped out. Furthermore, the holders of the mortgage debt will also have a loss. These losses will be greater than they would have been had government policy not actively encouraged over-investment in housing."

I'm not sure I agree with Ron Paul's prescription, but I think he comes closer to stating what would be the classic Eisenhower Republican position on the issue.

Dave

…………

Nice entry - And welcome to SC! n/t

Underlying all arguments against the free market is a lack of belief in freedom itself. ~M. Friedman

………… parent

thanks n/t

………… parent

The Hagel Senate Bill was definitely stronger

It had the portfolio caps, it had the provisions for a regulator with stronger authority, and it was a cleaner bill, without the affordable housing fund.

As a Democrat, it is disappointing to me that Dems voted that bill down along party lines in the banking committee.  According to this , the sides were not that far apart on the bill, but the Democrats wanted the affordable housing fund added on as an amendment, and they objected to some of the portfolio limits. 

 In opposing portfolio caps, Democrats expressed concern that such
restrictions would harm Fannie and Freddie's ability to ensure the
mortgage market liquidity needed to foster affordable housing.

"There seems to be an expectation on the part of some that if
Fannie and Freddie stop holding the assets in their portfolios, that the
rest of the market will somehow instantaneously fill the void and that
prices will not be affected," said Sen. Jon Corzine (D-New Jersey).
"I do not believe that is a reasonable expectation."

S. 190 co-sponsor Sen. Chuck Hagel (R-Nebraska) countered that the
GSEs' portfolios are profitable for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac
shareholders, but do little to advance their housing mission.

"Fannie and Freddie are public companies with shareholders,
and their boards have a fiduciary responsibility to those shareholders.
But Congress did not create GSEs to enrich share-holders and
executives," said Hagel. "They were created to provide
stability and capital in the secondary housing finance market."

But even if the Domcrats wanted those provisions, that's no excuse to vote down the core bill after those amendments failed. 

Hagel hit the nail on the head here.  I think it's important in these kind of cases to look back and check who was right and who was wrong, who was ahead of the curve and who was behind it, regardless of party.  This reminds me of why I'm a big fan of Chuck Hagel, the real maverick amongst the Senate Republicans.  It's going to be a big loss when he retires at the end of this term. 

From my perspective, it appears that the Senate Democrats were narrowly concerned with promoting high levels of "home ownerhsip" at the top, rather than the soundness of the GSEs, and this short-sightedness contributed to the recent problems with Fannie and Freddie.

………… parent

Chuck Hagel

I'm still trying to absorb this, along with your post on "my side" blowing GSE reform. Even though I'm a commercial real estate lawyer and I've seen lots of complicated stuff that is pretty opaque to a distinterested observer (some would say I've written quite a bit of it, as well!), I get pretty befuddled when I try to understand the secondary mortgage market in and of itself, let alone the "portfolio caps" and bond/stock issues involved in the GSEs.

I do know, though, that I'm with you on Chuck Hagel. He really seems to be a straight shooter, on Iraq, on Gov. Palin's qualifications for the White House , and on this subject.

Dave

………… parent

Hmm.. I don't know...like I said before...

...if there's ever any Clintonian need to collect a DNA sample in an Obama administration, Hagels tie would be the first place to look... ;-)

Underlying all arguments against the free market is a lack of belief in freedom itself. ~M. Friedman

………… parent

By the way, regarding your skepticism...

...of the "cast of characters" that were advocating reform and their motives, I would say that it would be fairly consistent for a true conservative to be in favor of greater regulation of the GSEs.  You're implying that this crowd would normally be opposed to government regulation of business in principle, but let's remember what they're regulating here.  The GSEs weren't private enterprises in any real way-- that government guarantee did exist, and these guys knew it.  So a guy like Hagel would have seen himself as fulfilling his fiduciary duty to the taxpayer with this kind of "regulation".

………… parent

Skepticism

Interesting and valid observation.

The discussions one hears about regulation and anti-regulation are often so one-dimensional that one can easily miss a nuance like this one; I certainly did!

I'm not really skeptical about Chuck Hagel's motivation in backing this legislation; as I just wrote in reply to another of your comments, I too am inclined to believe that he acted here in accordance with his own principles.

The skepticism I have runs more along the following lines: the articles noted in this thread seem to make clear that Fannie and Freddie's past CEOs spread a lot of money around with both parties, looking to get regulators to back off. I am inclined to believe that some of that money had an effect, and some of the elected officials who intervened on Fannie and Freddie's behalf did so because of the influence of their money. Some would say, for example, that Barney Frank was a shill for them, and would insinuate that he took that role because of the money influence. I myself suspect that that's not the case -- that he advocated the cause because he actually believed it was the right policy for affordable housing, not because of money influence -- but I am fully prepared to accept that there were some lawmakers who were influenced by all the money they were throwing around.

What I'm wondering about is whether someone _else_ was throwing money around in an effort to get the regulators to clamp down on Fannie and Freddie: for competitive reasons, for example. I guess what I'm saying is that I'm not so sure that all of the lawmakers and think-tankers who supported the Hagel bill were as principled as Hagel.

Dave

………… parent

Hi Dave

Thanks for the post.

You (and RW for that matter) might want to formally introduce yourself over in the Roll Call section under "Special Topics".

I never broke the law; I am the law! -- George W. Bush Judge Dredd
I'm listening to...

………… parent

thanks, will do n/t

………… parent

And directly from the horses mouth folks!

Underlying all arguments against the free market is a lack of belief in freedom itself. ~M. Friedman

…………

Aw....the sounds of scilence... ;-) LOL!

Underlying all arguments against the free market is a lack of belief in freedom itself. ~M. Friedman

………… parent

What would you like to discuss?

You posted a video, not a comment.  I guess you're trying to say I told you so or something, but I've been criticizing Democrats like Barney Frank on housing since before you participated on this site, so I really don't know what you're gloating about.

………… parent

Gloating - oh wise one why doth thou rebuke thee ... LOL!

Wasn't it you I was bantering about la raza and Barney yesterday or the day before?

Maybe not, to tired to search it.

Anyway, if you are dialed in, fine, don't trip potato chip. But there are several here who continue to live in denial about it. They would be the target of any alleged..."Gloating". LOL!

Underlying all arguments against the free market is a lack of belief in freedom itself. ~M. Friedman

………… parent

Speaking of denial

How about that Rick Davis?

qui tacet consentire

………… parent

Fingerpointing....okie doke...

Before the Democrats' affirmative action lending policies became
an embarrassment, the Los Angeles Times reported that, starting in
1992, a majority-Democratic Congress "mandated that Fannie and Freddie
increase their purchases of mortgages for low-income and medium-income
borrowers. Operating under that requirement, Fannie Mae, in particular,
has been aggressive and creative in stimulating minority gains."

Under Clinton, the entire federal government put massive pressure
on banks to grant more mortgages to the poor and minorities. Clinton's
secretary of Housing and Urban Development, Andrew Cuomo, investigated
Fannie Mae for racial discrimination and proposed that 50 percent of
Fannie Mae's and Freddie Mac's portfolio be made up of loans to low- to
moderate-income borrowers by the year 2001.

Instead of looking at "outdated criteria," such as the mortgage
applicant's credit history and ability to make a down payment, banks
were encouraged to consider nontraditional measures of
credit-worthiness, such as having a good jump shot or having a missing
child named "Caylee."

Threatening lawsuits, Clinton's Federal Reserve demanded that
banks treat welfare payments and unemployment benefits as valid income
sources to qualify for a mortgage. That isn't a joke -- it's a fact.

When Democrats controlled both the executive and legislative
branches, political correctness was given a veto over sound business
practices.

In 1999, liberals were bragging about extending affirmative action
to the financial sector. Los Angeles Times reporter Ron Brownstein
hailed the Clinton administration's affirmative action lending policies
as one of the "hidden success stories" of the Clinton administration,
saying that "black and Latino homeownership has surged to the highest
level ever recorded."

Meanwhile, economists were screaming from the rooftops that the
Democrats were forcing mortgage lenders to issue loans that would fail
the moment the housing market slowed and deadbeat borrowers couldn't
get out of their loans by selling their houses.

A decade later, the housing bubble burst and, as predicted,
food-stamp-backed mortgages collapsed. Democrats set an affirmative
action time-bomb and now it's gone off.

In Bush's first year in office, the White House chief economist,
N. Gregory Mankiw, warned that the government's "implicit subsidy" of
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, combined with loans to unqualified
borrowers, was creating a huge risk for the entire financial system.

Rep. Barney Frank denounced Mankiw, saying he had no "concern
about housing." How dare you oppose suicidal loans to people who can't
repay them! The New York Times reported that Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac
were "under heavy assault by the Republicans," but these entities still
had "important political allies" in the Democrats.

Now, at a cost of hundreds of billions of dollars, middle-class
taxpayers are going to be forced to bail out the Democrats' two most
important constituent groups: rich Wall Street bankers and welfare
recipients.

Political correctness had already ruined education, sports,
science and entertainment. But it took a Democratic president with a
Democratic congress for political correctness to wreck the financial
industry.

Underlying all arguments against the free market is a lack of belief in freedom itself. ~M. Friedman

…………

Let them both go under along

Let them both go under along with AIG GM and all the other companies who can't control their spending. If anyone should get a bail out it should be people who got a mortgage they can't pay i rather have thousands of people with a home then a few companies still up and running.

…………