Bye Bye Obama? Is the Writing Already on the Wall?
As I've stated on several occasions, I find the resurgence of McCain and the GOP from the jaws of inevitable defeat to be simply astounding. In a way, the feeling is like when I, as a Phillies fan, watched the Red Sox improbable run towards a World Series victory when they were one out away from losing down 3 games to none to the Yankees in 2004. I was amazed. Not really sad, not really elated....just amazed. I was witnessing an improbable historic run.
As I watch McCain do nothing while surging ahead of Obama in the polls in a country that hates the Bush Administration, I'm intrigued.
Thoughts that go through my mind...
-Are the Democrats that unpopular with too much of the country that the GOP can't even give them the White House?
-What is it about the Democratic brand that can't win an election handed to them on silver platter?
-What is it about Americans that no amount of political harm from Bush can get them to vote Democratic in droves?
-What is it about the GOP that are seemingly always at an electoral advantage for President no matter what they do....but not so for the Dems?
-Is Modern liberalism THAT unpopular?
-What would make the Democrats stronger in national elections regardless of what the GOP does?
Some in the Democratic faithful may think my questions are unfair or biased. I don't think so. After all, I'm the independent here. No rose colored glasses on the end of my nose.
So, while I'm watching and sensing a possibly imminent Democratic demise, I can't help but shed even more suspicion when I see this reason article which cites a new article from across the pond in London that talks about internal strife and frustration in Democratic Leadership circles that Obama is "squandering a once-in-a-generation chance to win back the White House."
In short, party insiders and pollsters say Obama is ignoring advice about how to beat McCain. They think they got the answers and are bombarding Obama HQ with advice that is simply falling on deaf ears. OnBill Clinton guy (unnamed) said with disgust:
"These guys are on the verge of blowing the greatest gimme in the history of American politics. They're the most arrogant bunch Ive ever seen. They won't accept that they are losing and they won't listen."
Ouch. Some Democrats watching the numbers are apparently getting restless.
Democratic strategists and campaigners think Obama needs to roll up sleeves and get nasty with more pointed attacks and rhetoric to connect with Main Street because they don't think he's doing and McCain is winning them by sheer default.
Others are also trotting out the word "race" saying Obama needs to ignore the polls and understand that he's really 4 to 6 points behind what the polls say because of the color of skin and that means winning more votes than he thinks he has.
Meanwhile Conservatives like Peggy Noonan are putting it all Palin and Left's reaction to her:
Peggy Noonan, the former Reagan speechwriter, blamed the defection of women voters from Mr Obama on the atom bomb of ritual abuse by left-wing bloggers and Democratic officials, painting Mrs Palin as a bad mother and religious weirdo.
Ms Noonan wrote: "The snobbery of it, the meanness of it, reminded the entire country, for the first time in a decade, what it is they don't like about the Left."
The Republican strategist Dan Schnur said that the effect was to repel blue collar, family-oriented voters. "They didn't like Obama in the primaries and voted for Hillary. And they still don't like him now so they're voting for Palin.
Personally, I think this is all fine and good. Some of thoughts from across the political spectrum may have merit in some political way. Personally, I think there's more to it than that. I think something's wrong with the Democratic Brand. And whatever it is, it has mushy middle voters leaning GOP in spite of every blunder and gaffe from the GOP to throw them in the Dem's lap with bubble paper.
Is it that they need to be more populist? I hope not. Is it that they need to be more libertarian? possibly. ;)
Either way, I think it's clear that whatever they got as a national image sucks because this race shouldn't be close...not because of the Dems have something to offer but simply because the GOP has done everything to piss off Amercia for the last 8 years and yet the GOP can't seem to shed enough voters for the Dems to have this thing thing wrapped already. It seems like no matter how much people hate the GOP, they seem to dislike the Dems just a little more when it comes to the WH.
Sure, a lot can change as we head into the debates. We'll see. Obama may rebound. But it must be said that this vulnerable position he's in should be alarming all by itself.