Global Warming and Alarmism

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It's a multi-step problem

(1) Is global warming occuring? This one really shouldn't be debatable, but plenty of conservatives refuse to acknowledge the scientific consensus.

(2) Is the cause man-made? The jury is still out on this one, although it seems to me to defy common sense to suppose that dumping as much CO2 into the atmosphere as we have wouldn't do anything.

(3) What should we do about it? This one is a lot more tricky than many liberals are willing to admit. The US is a large part of the problem, sure, but so are developing nations that don't use clean technology. There is a genuine cost/benefit problem to be worked out here.

Alarmism about the general problem I don't have an issue with, alarmism that interprets specific events (like Katrina) as symptoms of global warming is, in my opinion, counter-productive.

Come, my friends. 'Tis not too late to seek a newer world -- Tennyson

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alarmism

that uses any and all specific events for their cause is bad enough but there is a bigger issue at stake here.

The problem is that any solution that infringes on our individual rights and on our Capitalist system by imposing unfair controls is unacceptable.

The only solution that is acceptable is a technological one. We find ways to clean up our atmosphere, or we develop cleaner fuels, or we offer incentives to private businesses to develop more efficient technologies. Whatever it is, there will not be an imposed solution from the government on the American business.

Alarmists are pushing for control-based solutions like Kyoto and other measures to "mitigate" or slow down the rate us dumping CO2 and that is unacceptable on it's face. That control-based solution if you remember was defeated unanimously in the US Senate before Bush came to office.

Alarmists also in this case are willing to lie and lie big in order to advance their(from their perspective a legitimate) cause. Pardon me if I don't care for what they have to say.

I am not convinced about Human influence on global warming but even if I was I would still not accept any control-based solution to the problem.

"To discuss evil in a manner implying neutrality, is to sanction it." AR

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I noticed a trend lately

with your anti-'social responsibility' remarks.  Are you against any and all environmental regulations?  Why or why not?

If not, and this global climate change is most likely the greatest environmental problem to face humanity, why not enforce some control-based solutions?

We are all mediators, translators. - Derrida
http://signicide.blogspot.com/

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It's all about the question

Sometimes it's all about how you ask the question.  I find a lot of times questions about global warming are a little to pointed.  Of course one must assume the person being asked understands that the climate is, in fact, warming.

From that I ask something a little more open ended.  If we know the Earth is warming do we want to allow that to happen?  I leaves the answer a little more open, it doesn't require you to align yourself with one camp or another.  If we have the technology to slow or stop a warming (or cooling) global climate should we take action?

I agree with Ender in that it will have to come about in a very different and less invasive way in this country.  I don't, however, like the," well my neighbor dumps oil down HIS drain, so I'm gonna too!" attitude.  It's a little bit ignorant of the entire picture.

In any case try this question out next time.

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I am not against

sensible environmental regulations that are worked out with the business interests that are going to be primarily affected.

Since I do not believe this is some greatest environmental problem to face humanity, there is no need for any control-based solutions. Even if it was a huge problem I would still only favor working along with businesses to work out a voluntary compromise.

"To discuss evil in a manner implying neutrality, is to sanction it." AR

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That is not consistent

First, your individual right ends where my face begins. You can't pollute on my property and you can't dump in a stream that flows through your property and then gets to mine.

Likewise, you don't get to pollute into the air that I breath in and call it your personal right. Are you suggesting that ALL environmental laws are wrong?

Second, during WWII we had rationing. Should we have looked for newer technology to allow support for the war effort AND the capitalist society? Sure, but in the absence of such technology, rationing, be it steel or pollution is not an injustice.

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usually the person asked

is like Pat Robertson who looks outside his window and says "my goodness, it's been so hot lately, it must be Global Warming"

As for your questions:

1. Depends on how it would affect us.

2. If we have the technology and the effect of the warming is adverse then we should definitely use the technology to slow or stop it.

I don't, however, like the," well my neighbor dumps oil down HIS drain, so I'm gonna too!" attitude.

Of course.

"To discuss evil in a manner implying neutrality, is to sanction it." AR

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well

I generally agree with your first paragraph. Thus I support some common sense legislation that should be worked out through consultation with business interests.

Second, in crisis situations where our country and our liberties are at stake desperate measures are needed that might override individual rights. Since I don't believe we are even close to any such crisis situation I would oppose all control-based solutions.

"To discuss evil in a manner implying neutrality, is to sanction it." AR

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For someone who speaks so highly of science,

you sure seem to question it when it affects your higher God, laissez-faire economic principles.  I think it is fair to say that we now have a scientific consensus.  You have been pointed to this evidence before , but you seem to ignore it for some reason.

Science magazine conducted a survey of 928 peer -reviewed scientific journals and not one came to the conclusion that human activity is not involved in global climate change.

The scientific consensus is clearly expressed in the reports of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). Created in 1988 by the World Meteorological Organization and the United Nations Environmental Programme, IPCC's purpose is to evaluate the state of climate science as a basis for informed policy action, primarily on the basis of peer-reviewed and published scientific literature (3). In its most recent assessment, IPCC states unequivocally that the consensus of scientific opinion is that Earth's climate is being affected by human activities: "Human activities ... are modifying the concentration of atmospheric constituents ... that absorb or scatter radiant energy. ... [M]ost of the observed warming over the last 50 years is likely to have been due to the increase in greenhouse gas concentrations"



In addition, global climate change will threaten economies worse if we do nothing instead of doing something now.

Do you really think businesses will change voluntarily before it is too late?

We are all mediators, translators. - Derrida
http://signicide.blogspot.com/

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The actions that need to be taken by both

governments, businesses and everyday citizens that will be required to mitigate global warming through greenhouse gas emmissions (including but not limited to CO2) will take place when a majority of the individuals within each group see that it will benefit them more in the long run.

Right now, we are doing what we do, on every environmental front, because in the short run, we can & it's cheaper than doing it right.  ie - we now run sewage through sewage treatment plants instead of into a ditch or water body because we found it cheaper in the long run not to wipe out the fish in the body of water or drink contaminated water, we harvest forests differently than in the past because future business revenue and environmental factors increased the prosperity and value of life over simply clear cutting every tree we came across.

Similarly, when the people who live on the coasts find their property going under the high tide line, they'll think spending the money is a bargain.  When a farmer finds he can't farm anymore because of environmental conditions, he'll think it's cheaper to spend the money (it'll too late for that poor sap at that point, but oh well).

We do stuff, on all levels, the easiest and cheapest we can.  It isn't until we've been clocked really hard that we change our patterns to spend additional energy and money on an issue. 

Unfortunately, humans are lazy and selfish sometimes (sometimes more than others & some more than others).

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A change from the ABC 911 hooplah

Other blogs only talked about ABC 911 docudrama--forgetting Bush admission on rendition,  which is sad because it is not being debated.  Thus with these issues it is hard to think about global warming.

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despite what the hard core liberals might think

I doubt many americans care about a bunch of terrorists in secret prisons being moved around and tortured. I'd say news like that only helps Bush.

"To discuss evil in a manner implying neutrality, is to sanction it." AR

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On a more important note

Maxwell Rocked! Anyone who can get equations AND a demon named after them deserves respect!

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Alleged Terrorists

We don't know if they are terrorists until they have a trial. We do know that a lot of people in Guananamo and Abu Graib were innocent. Do you think the President should have complete power of judge, jury, torturer, and executioner?

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the President should be free

to prosecute this war. These are not some American criminals for our judicial system.

"To discuss evil in a manner implying neutrality, is to sanction it." AR

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incomplete

"The problem is that any solution that infringes on our individual rights and on our Capitalist system by imposing unfair controls is unacceptable."

we arrest people if their plans infringe on our individual rights.

destroying my environment infringes on my rights to basic survival! 

You seem to be talking about things like emission standards, but if emission is as deadly as a bullet, then of course we can intervene.

I don't get how you could think we can intervene in Iraq, but things like this, no, it's a matter of siding with people that don't want limitations, it's not logically consistent, merely affiliation consistent.

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the point of my post

you too are reacting to the alarmism, and I acknolwedge it's smart to hold off from alarmism.

HOWEVER, you also are bound to investigate... it's not just a matter of belief, but of evidence.

The evidence is strong, there are many non-alarmist things we can do to handle this smoothly, but we are stuck where you and other conservatives are deciding what to believe... rather than following and facing the simple science.

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not fair

that is a folk wisdom, global warming as an idea didn't come from such folkism like that, "gee, seems hot this summer"... it's scientific data.

You characterize it INTO your world view, but you need to look at the world and characterize it more on it's own terms.  I do not add "in my opinion" because this is a matter of facts and logical reasoning.

We can get back to opinion once we admit the reality of what's going on, let THAT reality form our opinions which will likely still differ, but at least work from the same reality. I think then we are likely to find a mixed conservative-liberal solution.

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I can't wait to see...

... if you feel the same way about a Democratic President.

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and a silver hammer!

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my method

one way I try to get a perspective on truth is that I refuse to synch with the mainstream news cycle.

I think you are right about the rendition issue... that's far more important even if Ender is right that america is pro torture, as it seemed to demonstrate in 2004.

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With what restrictions?

Let's be reasonable here for a moment: we all recognize limits to what we should allow, the question is where we envision those limits, and why.  Really, one of the largest discussions is a procedural one: whether the president has the ability to overstep the legal frameworks or not. 

Let me ask you a question: you seem to think that the American public, by and large, has no problems with secret prisons, torture, etc.  So why not pass it through Congress - make it legal?  Could you see that passing?  Why not?

Saint, n. A dead sinner revised and edited. - Ambrose Bierce

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My father

believes that the Kyoto Treaty is a conspiracy by the rest of the world to cripple the United States economically.  I wish I was making this up. 

I don't even know how to respond to arguments like that.

Saint, n. A dead sinner revised and edited. - Ambrose Bierce

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We must be long lost twins,

because my father is the same.  All I can do is shake my head and switch topics to something politically neutral like sports (but that is not even safe from his ridiculous conspiracy theories as he will start talking about the tax funded stadium or something).

We are all mediators, translators. - Derrida
http://signicide.blogspot.com/

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we are kinda hijacking the topic here

But I do not have a problem with making all those things legal - though secret prisons outside of US really do not need to be justified in US law - most CIA internal procedures do not need to be codified for every Joe Blow to know. That is the point of the word secret.

I have no problem with "torture" being legal in certain situations which is why I completely opposed the McCain amendment and hope the spirit of that amendment is ignored. Full legalization with many common sense restrictions should be passed by most of the lawmakers are chickens and thus I see no chance of it anytime soon. The public has no big problem with it and I showed it through Pew research links many times.

Also it is one of those issues that both those who support and those who oppose it do not really place it high on their priority list to care about because it really just affects the worst possible people in the world. So there is no outrage over torture and there never will be no matter how much liberals try to blow it up.

"To discuss evil in a manner implying neutrality, is to sanction it." AR

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for me the

asking those particular scientists whether Global Warming (or rather human activities responsible for it) exists or not is similar to asking congressional lobbyists whether their services are needed or even asking fundamentalist Christians whether God exists.

I am concerned and wary over all of those conclusions and whether they are being objectively scrutinized or is it an irrational orgy with almost religious undertones backed by the sinister anti-capitalist forces fanning the flames.

Again considering I do not think we are threatened, we have plenty of time to ascertain what is really happening and how it will affect our future.

"To discuss evil in a manner implying neutrality, is to sanction it." AR

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Ha.

Also it is one of those issues that both those who support and those who oppose it do not really place it high on their priority list to care about because it really just affects the worst possible people in the world.

Except when it affects a completely innocent person , of course.

That never seems to bother you.

If you really believe this is the "fight of our lives," how come you're not in Iraq?

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nothing is perfect

I support the Death Penalty as well even though there are risks of executing innocents. Humanity isn't perfect and if we  refused to do anything that we could not accomplish perfectly nothing would ever be done.

"To discuss evil in a manner implying neutrality, is to sanction it." AR

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Ridiculous comparison

asking those particular scientists whether Global Warming (or rather human activities responsible for it) exists or not is similar to asking congressional lobbyists whether their services are needed or even asking fundamentalist Christians whether God exists.

Christian fundamentalism comes about because of a belief in God.  If there's no God, Christian fundamentalism ceases to exist.

Congressional lobbying develops because of a perceived need for interest groups.  If their services are not needed, congressional lobbying atrophies and dies.

Climatology precedes global warming, the belief in which came only after analyzing data.  If there's no global warming... climatologists are neither here nor there.  It doesn't affect their careers.  They keep analyzing data.

Maybe they're analyzing their data incorrectly, but you have to deal with the data, not with preconceptions about the people analyzing it.

Saint, n. A dead sinner revised and edited. - Ambrose Bierce

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You display the same cavalier attitude

... about killing or torturing innocents as you do for those being slaughtered in Iraq, I note.

The real question in the case of torture is, where are the checks and balances?  I don't think the death penalty is a relevant example because death penalty cases are subject to automatic judicial review.

The abduction and torture of possible innocent individuals is not.

If you really believe this is the "fight of our lives," how come you're not in Iraq?

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I don't think Science magazine

picked and chose particular scientists to report on for the article.  Those were all the articles published on the topic during that span of time.

You must understand that scientists do not usually have a political agenda when doing research (exceptions of course for things like drug research, but not for most of the hard sciences including climatology).  What would be their motive?  If anything, governments tend to silence scientists when their research does not conveniently match the perspective the government wants .

Are you going to say that the World Bank (my second link) is part of this anti-capitalist conspiracy by scientist?

You are proving my point.  Short term profit uber alles!

We are all mediators, translators. - Derrida
http://signicide.blogspot.com/

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in wars

when dealing with the enemy such checks and balances are best left to the military or the individual agency in question.

I leave it to the more than capable hands of our intelligence agencies and the pentagon.

Honestly I do not care about those people as long as our DoD and Homeland Security Dept do their job and protect our country. This is not a concern.

"To discuss evil in a manner implying neutrality, is to sanction it." AR

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I disagree with this part

If there's no global warming... climatologists are neither here nor there.  It doesn't affect their careers.

It is a much bigger question in my mind. Who is really paying for the research related to the Global Warming. Where are the funds coming from and what happens to those funds if there is no Global Warming.

You have to admit that data can also be cherry-picked to suit a particular agenda.

"To discuss evil in a manner implying neutrality, is to sanction it." AR

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again I disagree with this premise

You must understand that scientists do not usually have a political agenda when doing research (exceptions of course for things like drug research, but not for most of the hard sciences including climatology).  What would be their motive?

The motive at the very least could be to keep their funding from various sources. Other motives can be political sympathies with various sides.

Plenty of various institutions, including World Bank, are susceptible to mass propaganda and eventually fold and adopt the prevailing wisdom as policy.

I am not categorically denying Global Warming but I am more than a little skeptical because I am very concerned over the agenda of the people funding the research.

"To discuss evil in a manner implying neutrality, is to sanction it." AR

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How did you feel about the Soviet Gulag?

Just curious.

If you really believe this is the "fight of our lives," how come you're not in Iraq?

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You are still begging the question

of why these scientists hold an anti-capitalist agenda.  It makes no sense.  Why would they care?  Are most scientists socialists/communists?  What is your evidence?

I know you don't have all the time in the world to do research to find who might be funding these studies, but do you think 928 peer-reviewed journal authors all have the same anti-capitalist views and cherry-picked the same evidence.  That is preposterous!

We are all mediators, translators. - Derrida
http://signicide.blogspot.com/

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When would you accept

global climate change as a reality/  What is your criteria?  When New York is under water?  I'm not driving out there to help you move; I'll tell you that now. :)

I guess some of us are determined to learn the hard way.

We are all mediators, translators. - Derrida
http://signicide.blogspot.com/

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Are you taking wild guesses?

Climatologists are researchers, like any other researchers.  No, they're not all funded by George Soros - some are getting money from federal funding, some from universities public and private, some from private institutions.  You've got an enormous range of sponsers to sift through if you want to make an argument about motivations.

Who's paying for global-warming-specific studies?  I don't know, but you've got a lot of work to do if you want to make this claim.  You know how much we love unsubstantiated arguments here.  :D

Notice we don't have these arguments about most of the other sciences.  No one's guessing, without any evidence, that evolution researchers must be funded by anti-religious groups.

What we do know is that, almost without exception, naysayers to global warming are being funded by oil companies .  That should set off a few alarm bells.

Saint, n. A dead sinner revised and edited. - Ambrose Bierce

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Just to clarify:

yes, data can be cherrypicked, and the history of science is full of examples where generally-held beliefs are shown to be false.  But you're rejecting global warming based on the fact that data could be cherrypicked, and funding could be biased.  By that argument, we can reject any theory in any science, ever. 

Saint, n. A dead sinner revised and edited. - Ambrose Bierce

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true

There is plenty of evidence of Earth warming but it is not as clear whether it is caused primarily by human interference. Earth was this hot before and many times.

I'd like to believe the data presented but again I am concerned by who is presenting this data, the alliances of groups funding the research, and the hidden motives of those groups.

It's not as simple as just looking at the data presented in vacuum. Because there is no vacuum around this data.

"To discuss evil in a manner implying neutrality, is to sanction it." AR

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I love it

you are comparing the motives of the American government to the Communist dictatorship's motives. Pardon me if I don't dignify this with a response.

"To discuss evil in a manner implying neutrality, is to sanction it." AR

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In realpolitik, motives are arbitrary. (n/t)

Saint, n. A dead sinner revised and edited. - Ambrose Bierce

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In your world...

... all data is relative.

Unless it supports your point of view.

Kind of like the way Cheney and Bush picked through pre-war intelligence to find the bits that supported their pre-determined decision to go to war in Iraq.  Even though the evidence pointed overwhelmingly to the opposite conclusions they wanted.

If you really believe this is the "fight of our lives," how come you're not in Iraq?

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it's not necessarily

the scientists who hold the anti-capitalist agenda. I thought I made that clear. Who is funding the research? Where is the money coming from? What are the organizations who are most alarmist about this and what evidence to they present?

"To discuss evil in a manner implying neutrality, is to sanction it." AR

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I am?

I asked you how you felt about the Soviet Gulag.

Where are you getting that?

If you really believe this is the "fight of our lives," how come you're not in Iraq?

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Yeah, you know all those nuts at NOAA

Respected scientists who work for the government.  Who study these things for years.

What's their agenda again?

If you really believe this is the "fight of our lives," how come you're not in Iraq?

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A great many of us I expect

And they won't have to move.  It will be the new Venice.  Think of the tourism potential. ;}

While the science is sound, we have to acknowledge that there will always be some people who will not believe anything but what they are able to see with their own eyes. 

"The human race divides politically into those who want people to be controlled and those who have no such desire."  --R. Heinlein

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That is Ender's fallback on every argument.

From the current film controversy to global warming to Iraq.

Everything is relative.  Therefore, there are no "facts."  And everything can be denied or supported depending on one's point of view.

This general distrust of even the most proven of facts must stem from his time being subject to the propaganda machines of  his former country.  He doesn't trust anything.

What a way to go through life.

If you really believe this is the "fight of our lives," how come you're not in Iraq?

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In reference to the homeschooling diary

I guess one of the ways to make a good liberal is to attempt to raise them conservative, eh Ender.  There must be some kind of Oedipal psychology here.

So by all means, try to raise your future kid conservative to make our ranks grow stronger. ;)

We are all mediators, translators. - Derrida
http://signicide.blogspot.com/

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why the earth is warming

true.... however, a big part of the puzzle is shown by the fact that the CO2 levels now are way higher than anytime in the last half million years plus... and that contributional difference is due to humans.

so we have a correlation between CO2 and warming of some sort... and we are putting more CO2 in the air, and it's getting warmer... that's a bit more than just a little odd.

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