Monday + Tuesday Open Thread
Not much in the news today. President Obama is traveling around the country to drum up support for the stimulus package
making its way through congress, and Israel has parliamentary elections
tomorrow to decide who will be their next PM. The race is very close, but it looks as though the conservative Likud party is ahead by a small margin.
Submitted by stinerman on Mon, 2009-02-09 11:09
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Comments :
Socialismt in 1709 France!
1709: The year that Europe froze
In our society, people are rewarded for pretending to be certain about things they're clearly not certain about. -- Sam Harris,
Yeah, well. They also put
Yeah, well. They also put their garbage dump and graveyard in the center of town right next to their drinking water so I guess you'll have to excuse me if I don't look to historical France for any insights on governance...
non sequitur
And LeBron James isn't a good baseball player so don't look to him for anything to do with athletics.
In our society, people are rewarded for pretending to be certain about things they're clearly not certain about. -- Sam Harris,
Exactly. The only thing I'd ask him about would be basketball.
n/t
Did he hide his basketball
in the garbage dumP?
I'm only half stupid
Brutus, I know you enjoy these captivating phraseologies...
...and they're fun occasionally, but they can be spun in such an infinite number of ways as to render useless virtually any attempt at meaningful deliberation, or at least prolonging it's recognition indefinitely.
They would probably be better reserved for cases in which the antagonist is hopelessly circumventing, or trying to evade the obvious.
IMHO of course. ;-)
Underlying all arguments against the free market is a lack of belief in freedom itself. ~M. Friedman
I just thought that
One Chewbacca Defense would be best retorted with another Chewbacca Defense.
In our society, people are rewarded for pretending to be certain about things they're clearly not certain about. -- Sam Harris,
How's that?
You made a point, he refuted it with a counterpoint...
Anyway neither seemed particularly climactic or pivotal...right?
Underlying all arguments against the free market is a lack of belief in freedom itself. ~M. Friedman
Brutus I enjoy your captivating phraseologies
This one is a three pointer!
I'm only half stupid
Another pertinent, focused, productive contribution from ML?
I would call it food for thought...but the only thing it is good for is a big healthy BM!
Way to go ML!
Keep those world class observations coming...
Underlying all arguments against the free market is a lack of belief in freedom itself. ~M. Friedman
Chill out
//
No need to follow me around like a bitter scold.
Having fun is legal.
I'm only half stupid
Follow you...you commented on my post?
Having fun is great, hint, being congruous is fun too, try it sometime!
Underlying all arguments against the free market is a lack of belief in freedom itself. ~M. Friedman
As Brutus says
I wouldn't look to them for ideas on sanitation, but they may have other ideas worth exploring. Dismissing everything they did out of hand would be an obvious ad hominem.
The Founding Fathers believed in bloodletting. Therefore, any ideas they had regarding governance are not worthy of being considered.
Etc, etc.
I never broke the law; I am the law! --
George W. BushJudge DreddI'm listening to...
Health Department Notice
There is an upswing in bacterial infections due to unclean computuer screens and the increasing amount of time we spend in front of them.
But, luckily, there is an easy fix. Follow this link
Trust me. You'll be glad you did :-)
"The human race divides politically into those who want people to be controlled and those who have no such desire." --R. Heinlein
NSFW Penn Jillette
Unintended Consequences
NSFW
In our society, people are rewarded for pretending to be certain about things they're clearly not certain about. -- Sam Harris,
Obama's first press conference
About a half hour into Obama's first press conference, the guy is KICKING ASS. Very impressive.
Sounds a lot like GW! LOL!
He's just tap dancing around making sh!t up and not answering anything really.
What was that Mr. POTUS?
Things are going good in Iraq, great.
What were you talking with Joe about when he said no matter what you did you'd get 30% of it wrong? Oh? You don't remember that conversation? ...really?
You are willing to shut down Iran, go into Afghanistan and button up the outlaying areas and hot spots? Great! (sounds very familiar)
And to suggest the Republicans are not supporting this monstrosity of a bill because we're coming off an election and that kind of rhetoric is insulting to the economists and American people who understand what Barry is trying to pawn off on us!
Not impressed.
Surprised?
I wanted to be...if that helps.
Underlying all arguments against the free market is a lack of belief in freedom itself. ~M. Friedman
He's very articulate
He thinks the American people are smart.
I particularly like the goal of rebuilding trust.
It seems to be a strong heartfelt conviction and a central them of his approach to policy.
My only complaint is he needs to look into the camera when he is speaking solo, so the public feels like he is speaking directly to them.
One other observation. He needs a sort of wrap it all in a sound byte bumper sticker slogan for folks to focus on. Like..... nothing is going to change until we get the American people back to work. Oops that's too long. ;-)
I'm only half stupid
That makes one of us
I'll quote Einstein:
Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the universe.
I never broke the law; I am the law! --
George W. BushJudge DreddI'm listening to...
Okay
Are these the bitter folks, that cling to guns and god.
I think most people are decent
I'm only half stupid
I said nothing about decency
I said they were stupid.
The two are not orthogonal.
I never broke the law; I am the law! --
George W. BushJudge DreddI'm listening to...
I know you didn't
I did.
I'm only half stupid
Stupidity is too relative of
Stupidity is too relative of a thing to measure. I mean there's so much knowledge to know, and even the brightest only know a very small fraction.
The constant reminder that
The constant reminder that President Obama is articulate is something that concerns me greatly. I worry that, after 8 years of a man who should have read directly from a script no matter what anyone told him, people will simply stumble over themselves to fall in line to Obama's requests just because he's so darn good at rhetoric. I have a slight inclination to believe eventualy, as with all things in America, we'll simply get used to it and the charm will wear off.
And I also disagree that he should look directly into the camera. That's the kind of connection one expects when he's sitting at a "desk in the White House" or something similar. To know he's in a room full of people, a press conference or otherwise, and to have him stare at a camera would be just bizarre. That kind of thing dictates as sense of being a member of the audience, not being talked directly at.
But that's just me.
I think I narrowed it down for you. It's the kind of monosylabic chanting word one looks for in leading an enamored crowd to hero worship.
That or hope. I bet hope would work well, too.
But that's just me.
The constant reminder that
There may be some of that dynamic (W certainly lowered the bar), but I think Obama deserves some credit: insofar as his rhetoric is more persuasive than was W's, I think a good part of it is that he gives the impression -- a correct impression, in my view -- that he has a deeper understanding of the issues he's discussing, that he's aware of and appreciates the complexities involved, that he has seriously considered various angles/perspectives of the problem and potential solutions, etc., and I consider that difference a legitimate basis for someone to be more likely to give one president more benefit of the doubt than another.
I am trying...
...but I read it differently.
I pick up on this stylized arrogance about him, the power laugh, and the belabored articulation plays to obscure a real lack of substance, it's an "I'm not the POTUS but I play one on TV" sort of aftertaste.
That, and in the very content of his rhetoric, though all is fair in love and politics, lurks a shrewd, calculating Chicago politician, masquerading as an agent of change.
I don't know, I'm still unconvinced, but open to it getting better...
Underlying all arguments against the free market is a lack of belief in freedom itself. ~M. Friedman
Grade of "A" for Obama for
Grade of "A" for Obama for press conference, meaning in terms of what I presume to be his communcation/persuasion objectives.
Hey BR...
...it's been interesting of late, John and a new Yellow bar named Magilson have been contributing some IMO compelling content...
Hope you hang around and get involved.
Good to see you.
(Oh, ya, an A for "always persuasive" maybe...but not stellar in terms of much anything else, just playing politics as usual.)
Underlying all arguments against the free market is a lack of belief in freedom itself. ~M. Friedman
thanks. Yeah, I should be
thanks. Yeah, I should be more active here than I've been lately. I probably will be.
I like Obama
I really do. I always have. The problem is that I just don't agree with him on many important matters.
A slight problem. But I don't hold it against him.
Oh well...
Obama fails his first test on civil liberties and accountability
- resoundingly and disgracefully. via Glenn Greenwald:
www.salon.com/opinion/greenwald/2009/02/09/state_secrets/index.html
I speak of the Department of Justice Lawyer who today in a Ninth Circuit Court trial regarding rendition carried on this exchange with the Judges:
"Is there anything material that has happened” that might have caused the Justice Department to shift its views, asked Judge Mary M. Schroeder, an appointee of President Jimmy Carter, coyly referring to the recent election.
“No, your honor,” Mr. Letter replied.
“The change in administration has no bearing?” she asked.
“No, your honor,” he said once more. The position he was taking in court on behalf of the government had been “thoroughly vetted with the appropriate officials within the new administration,” and “these are the authorized positions,” he said.
I can't tell you how much that took the wind out of my sails. I am forced to agree with Andrew Sullivan who said:
"This is a depressing sign that the Obama administration will protect the Bush-Cheney torture regime from the light of day. And with each decision to cover for their predecessors, the Obama Administration becomes retroactively complicit in them."
Man I feel ill.
That is too bad. I guess
That is too bad. I guess I hoped that a better policy on torture and civil liberties would be the upside of an Obama administration - oh and I thought maybe he would be more fiscally responsible inre to deficits since I thought he'd raise taxes - so much for all of that.
Obama reminds me of an Everclear song
He always tries to be everything to everyone.
I never broke the law; I am the law! --
George W. BushJudge DreddI'm listening to...
Well, I never did expect him
Well, I never did expect him to be what I wanted on social issues, or foreign policy - hence I didn't vote for him. When he won, though, I did hope we would get better policy on civil liberties and balanced budgets - actually I didn't really expect balanced budgets, but I wasn't really expecting him to promise trillion dollar deficits for years to come either.
Well he abandoned the left last Feb or March...
...that was when he started making all these policy reversals, and became a regular old politician... remember these;
Against gun control
Move troops to Afgan instead of withdraw
Didn't take public finance
NAFTA
Does not support DC Handgun ban
For nuclear power
For Death penalty
Retracked his promise to normalize relations with Cuba
Eased off abortion rights
Open to drilling
Stated marriage is between a man and a woman
Admitted surge is a success
Now tough on Iran
...and you're just now getting the message?
Underlying all arguments against the free market is a lack of belief in freedom itself. ~M. Friedman
Well then
He isn't the flaming pinko socialist you thought then, right?
Like I said ... he's everything to everyone.
I never broke the law; I am the law! --
George W. BushJudge DreddI'm listening to...
Isn't that kind of his
job? You know the leader of the American people?
Rush Limbaugh, and RW disagree. They still hate his guts.
And some still think he has turned the white house into a c**n haven.
If that helps put you in a better mood.
I'm only half stupid
C**n?
Coon? I honestly don't know. Coon isn't a slur unless the context is obvious and the intent is to offend. None of here are racists. I know we have at least one Black** commenter and I doubt he's offended by it.
I never was big on the whole idea that the President ought to try to find common ground with those who oppose his vision. We elected him (indirectly) to carry out his vision of how the country should be run, not his vision watered down to appease moderates or anyone else.
Bipartisanship is also overrated. I don't think most people want the parties to collude when passing bills. The Republicans want to obstruct a Democratic agenda as much as possible; the Democrats want to get their agenda enacted over these objections/obstructions.
If we're going to have elections and then try to give the minority more and more of what they want, then what is the point? Let's just make the American Party, do away with elections and govern from this mythical "center" i always hear about.
**I refuse to use the misnomer "African American" to refer to dark-skinned Americans of African desent. Gary Anderson
is from Africa, however no one in their right mind would call him an African American. What we wish to say is that someone has a particular color of skin when we say someone if "African American". Furthermore, many Black Americans' ancestors have been here longer than mine, yet no one refers to me as a German American.
I never broke the law; I am the law! --
George W. BushJudge DreddI'm listening to...
I agree that politicians
I agree that politicians should do what they're elected to do rather than bend to the opposition. However, I will point out the obvious that what they're elected to do is different than what they run on in the primary, since they have to move to the center in the general.
I don't care about the primary
As much as we tend to think that we have rights to vote in a party's primary, what goes on in the primary is generally private business. As I am not a member of any political party, I sit on the sidelines during the primaries since I'm not able to participate.
We tend to think of the primaries as a sort of NFC/AFC playoff where we get to determine who ends up being in the Super Bowl. This really isn't the case. If you are a Republican or even an independent, Democrats aren't talking to you during the primaries. What they say is of no consequence until they are their party's nominee.
Sure this is a rather idealized look at party primaries and politics, but I think that you can only fault politicians for breaking their promises that were made in the general, not the primary.
I never broke the law; I am the law! --
George W. BushJudge DreddI'm listening to...
Well, the way I look it at a
Well, the way I look it at a promise is a promise. And it isn't right if you take the backing of a party which give you the only shot at power by lying to them.
GRRRR! Why did you have to
GRRRR!
Why did you have to mention the only NFL player whose very name brings to me flashbacks of rage and piercing disappointment. I've been a Vikings fan since 1973. Anderson was PERFECT -- literally -- throughout the '98 season. And then...THIS! http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/football/nfl/1998/playoffs/news/1999/01/17/falcons_first/index.html
GRRRrrrr! My girlfriend at the time said that after that happened and after the Vikes lost the game were the only times she was actually afraid to be around me.
So you can call Gary Anderson whatever you want, but please don't do it around me. GRRRRR!!
Hah
Did somebody mention Vikings and disappointment?
Yes they did
In our society, people are rewarded for pretending to be certain about things they're clearly not certain about. -- Sam Harris,
**I refuse to use the
I feel exactly the same way.
ditto
There was a guest, on I think Stephen Colbert, she tried to claim that only decedents of west African slaves in the US were real African Americans. I guess to her, Scottish immigrants were the only real European Americans.
In our society, people are rewarded for pretending to be certain about things they're clearly not certain about. -- Sam Harris,
Depends on what he does...and so far by that standard...
...well let's just say you don't have to be Joe McCarthy to figure out what this guy is all about... ;-)
Underlying all arguments against the free market is a lack of belief in freedom itself. ~M. Friedman
I don't know about most of
I don't know about most of those, but I don't think him not taking public financing, really ticked off the left. It really ticked me off though, becaus he buried McCain with money he promised not to use. I mean I'm fine with him using private money, but I don't like the fact that he made an explicit promise, and then outright broke it as soon as the promise was inconvenient. If you can't stick to a promise than don't make it in the first place.
Initially it infuriated them...
..because the had been out spent, so liberals wanted a fair playing field, so they pushed this critical importance of public finance, however as it became evident that Obama was turning into an American Idol, they quietly acuiesced. Even as it underlined Obama's willingness to lie.
Underlying all arguments against the free market is a lack of belief in freedom itself. ~M. Friedman
Right
Politicians and die-hard partisans are principled to the point that it helps their campaigns...which is to say not at all.
Part of being principled (perhaps even the definition) means doing something that isn't in one's best interest but the right thing to do all the same. Some of the time we are "rich" enough to abide by our principles, some of the time we aren't. In the latter case, we much acknowledge our switch to utilitarian principles.
Again, it's all about owning your beliefs and owning up to when you decide to abandon them in the name of expediency.
I never broke the law; I am the law! --
George W. BushJudge DreddI'm listening to...
Good points JM, RW, Stine.
Good points JM, RW, Stine. Glad to see people of a variety of ideological perspectives and views of Obama are calling a...oh man, I wrote out an expression that could have been mistaken in a very bad way, so deleted it...I mean, calling something what it is. Obama's rejection of public funding was lame, and his disingenuous efforts at justifying it and belittling it* compounded that lameness, all of which was made even worse by his positioning of himself as someone of higher integrity and greater principle than typical politicians.
* One example http://swordscrossed.org/diary/20081022/obamas-deception-campaign-funding-and-need-real-reform
Not to be contrarian BR, but
Not to be contrarian BR, but I think lame is the wrong word. What Obama did was downright dishonest, and it totally disgusts me. I mean to sit down and agree to a set of rules and then as soon as the rule doesn't benefit you - there's just a lack of honor there, that's less than what you'd expect even find among crooks.
Now lame is McCain basing his campaign on Pork, Ayers, Joe the Plumber, and maverickness - that's what I call lame. What Obama did, I call dishonest, and shameful. I don't know why it didn't bother more folks. I guess folks just expect their politicians to be dishonest. But this bothers me more than regular political dishonesty, as its just sort of expected that politicians are going to stretch and mangle the truth in campaign to the point where's political speech as become a different genre, sort of like novels where not telling the exact truth isn't really deception. However, you make a specific agreement with another guy on how you're going to play a game when it looks it will benefit you, and then back out as soon as it doesn't - well that really goes against my sense of honor.
I should be clear I don't
I should be clear I don't mean to justify any kind of dishonesty, its just that what Obama did really ticked me.
heh, it ain't often that
heh, it ain't often that "lame" is considered an insufficiently critical adjective :-D
But folks use the word in a variety of ways (as illustrated by the respective uses that you and I have described here), but to me "lame" in such a context generally means reflecting weak character, including self-serving dishonesty that causes (or runs the risk of causing) significant harm, and that's why I used that word. I called it lame AND dishonest ("disingenuous"). As you can tell from my diary (link in my prior comment), the whole thing pissed me off, too.
Fair enough, we just use
Fair enough, we just use different semantics.
Remember
to not make the perfect the enemy of the good.
The delima here is that likely lots of folks in the CIA would be implicated, and there are a lot of good people at the CIA whose talents he can't afford to waste. Making the CIA your enemy is not a wise judgement. (see John F Kennedy)
You can make that your sticking point, which is a worthy sticking point, but is that one issue going to be IT, similar to the way the enthusiastically pro-life crowd refuses to accept any whiff compromise?
I'm only half stupid
Clear chart of differences between the House and Senate bills
http://www.propublica.org/special/the-stimulus-bills-house-vs.-senate
Looking over that carefully, I've got to say, I like the Senate version much better.
In any case... it shows the gagantuan task the bi-cameral committee will have in reconciling the two.
The grand total is about the same.... but the priorities are very different.
Like I said last week when everyone was all apoplectic about the House bill.... you have to wait to see what the final legislation looks like.
If it looks more like the Senate bill and less like the House bill... then it's a good bill.... not great... but good.
I survived the Bush Administration
The Treasury's planning on
The Treasury's planning on spending two trillion dollars on the banks. I must say these trillions of dollars are just blowing my mind away. The way I figure every trillion is about $10,000 per American familly. How can we do this?
Well..
The mess caused by 28 years of being "trickled on" by the misguided supply-sider philosophy will take some time and money to fix.
It took decades to create this mess. The fix won't come overnight.
I survived the Bush Administration
I don't like the
I don't like the way "trickle down economics" has been implemented, but I fail to see Obama's plan is really any different. The problem I see with trickle down economics is that it falsely assumes tax-cut always lead to greater revenue, and hence we never pay for government. Obama's plan is the same just place tax-cuts with gigantic spending and replace 500 Billion dollar deficits with 1 trillion dollar deficits. Obama's cutting taxes while increasing spending just like Bush, only with less tax-cuts and a lot more spending - this is like everything that was bad about "trickle down economics" only worse. I know the analogy been over-used, but what Obama's doing seems like telling an alcoholic that its okay to drink away, because you drank yesterday, so that means you should drink more today. Bush had the same excuse for doing the reckless spending/tax-cut duo that Obama does, as he was also faced with a recession, a much smaller one, but he ran a much smaller deficit too, so I fail to see how Bush is less fiscally responsible than Obama.
While I question the wisdom of borrowing our way out this recession, when we already have a national debt of something like $90,000 per familly. If we are going to go this route I say we go the route of tax-cuts, as this means more freedom.
Re: debt per household, you
Re: debt per household, you seem to be using the gross debt. "Debt held by the public" is the better metric. The rest is intra-governmental debt, most notably the money "owed" to the Social Security "trust fund", which isn't really meaningful in an economic sense.
So what's the debt held by
So what's the debt held by the public?
The debt held by the public
The debt held by the public (sometimes called "publicly held debt", not to be confused with the "(total) public debt", the latter generally referring to gross debt, as confusing as that is) is the money the government (the Treasury) owes bondholders outside of "trust funds" in other parts of our government (e.g., Social Security). The amount is obviously a (fast) moving target, but as of 10/31/08, it was $6.3 trillion. A good fact sheet on the debt is at http://concordcoalition.org/learn/debt-facts
[edit below]
Also, an excellent primer is at http://www.gao.gov/new.items/d04485sp.pdf
As a note, although debt "owed" to "trust funds" such as the Social Security Trust Fund represent a spending obligation, they don't represent "debt" in the true sense (of expense to taxpayers, impact on interest rates and thus "crowding out" of private investment, etc.) as does debt held by the public. Debt to "trust funds" merely represents the respective minimums we must spend in the future on those particular programs (e.g., Social Security), so it's akin to an earmark, but generally and in the case of Social Security, which is by far the largest component of this intragovernmental debt, the "trust fund" balances (amount due them) does not and will not come anywhere close to the amount we plan to spend on those programs anyway (The Social Security Trust Fund balance is only about $2 trillion, a small fraction of what we plan to spend over the next few decades) so the existence of this obligation has no real impact on our long-term fiscal imbalance or on the burden of future taxpayers. It's the spending on the program itself that contributes to that imbalance and causes the burden.
Okay, that would put the
Okay, that would put the figure per familly debt at about $60,000, based on, in my head calculations. This is assuming a population of 300,000,000 million, and average familly size of 3, none of which are actually facts - just random aproximations on my part. Anyway that's good news, that we're not actually in 9 trillion dollars of debt or whatever the last figure was. It does however make the 800+ Billion dollar stimulus seem somewhat bigger. Is most of the stimulus going to be new debt or are they planning on printing money to cover a lot of it?
Um...
You say that like they're two different things. Granted one involves interest. But remember the other causes inflation. I guess one must decide which is worse.
For the fiscal stimulus, that
For the fiscal stimulus, that is new debt (debt held by the public). Of course, one fear is that if our debt gets really, really bad over the years and decades, and investors become reluctant to keep buying Treasuries to finance our debt without earning very high interest rates from us (or the politicians decide to reduce taxpayers interest expense even if it means harmful inflation), the Fed will "monetize the debt" by buying those Treasuries (loaning money to the Treasury), which means printing money, which means harmful inflation.
For the bank bailout, I think that's mostly or completely the Fed's money -- printing money, so to speak, but I have some catching up to do on the latest on that. [Edit/correction: under TARP, the Fed is on the hook as co-guarantor of some assets against losses (most notably on the hook for up to $234 billion in losses on $306 billion of Citibank portfolio assets if losses beyond about $45 billion occur*), and also for the Term Asset-Backed Securities Loan Facility (TALF), which is "a credit facility of the Federal Reserve that will lend up to $200 billion to holders of certain AAA-rated asset-backed securities that support consumer lending such as credit cards, automobile loans, student loans, and small business loans", and thus would//will have to "print money" to cover any related losses, but the purchases of the "troubled assets" have been from the Treasury (i.e., taxpayers) and the net cost/gain to taxpayers will be whatever losses/gains result when the Treasury eventually sells off those assets (I assume we're talkin' loss). I still haven't read up on the details of the new plan.]
* http://www.cbo.gov/ftpdocs/99xx/doc9961/01-16-TARP.pdf
Paragraphs....thx!
,
Underlying all arguments against the free market is a lack of belief in freedom itself. ~M. Friedman
Other elements and further
Other elements and further detail below (warning: potentially anxiety & headache-producing). Even more of a complex mix between Fed and Treasury in the loans, purchases, guarantees, aaaaaahhhh (I mean, "etc."), that comprise the financial bailout.
2/4/09 (obviously prior to yesterday's announcement of the new policy) http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2009/02/04/business/20090205-bailout-totals-graphic.html
2/11/09 http://www.nytimes.com/imagepages/2009/02/11/business/11bailout.graphix2.ready.html
And also in today's NYT:
Thats BS PM!
This is not at all to do with the last 28 years!
It has to do with congress forcing banks to make bad loans and how a free market is corrupted by government intervention, and social engineering. Did you think a guy who had no job, no work history, no down payment, and bad credit was going to handle a 300K mortgage? DID YOU? Of course not, so your buddy's even made it possible for the ninja no doc loan! WHY?
What did you think was going to happen PM?
Had Barney and Dobbs and your mentors not coerced the banks to make those bad loans, they would have not been resold, bundled, resold, etc and none of this would be happening!
Dudes like you are what make this whole thing so infuriating.
Hey, are you at work today, or at home, if so maybe you could post a pic of you in your blue donkey PJ's...
-5!
Underlying all arguments against the free market is a lack of belief in freedom itself. ~M. Friedman
Forcing banks to make bad loans
If the banks were "forced" to make bad loans, how do you explain the fact that about half of the sub-prime loans were made by mortgage companies that were not subject to the rules of the Community Reinvestment Act? The reason so many of these loans were made was because the folks making the loans (banks and mortgage companies), were making boatloads of money off of them by bundling them and selling them off, not because they were forced to make them.
We are the environment. There is no distinction. What we do to the earth we do to ourselves. —David Suzuki
"Forced" is the wrong word.
"Forced" is the wrong word. But if two doughnut stores (Home Loan Lenders), right next door to each other (both having equipotential exposure to the market due to the information age), both sell the exact same kinds of doughnuts (FHA or FHA-like loans, Sub-Prime, etc.) and one of the stores lowers it's doughnut prices (In this case the CRA allowed riskier loans i.e. short term lower prices) then it does not take much to understand why the other doughnut store would have to follow (price competition). No one is forced to do any of this, other than the (not overwhelmingly prevelent bullying by ACORN, etc.) manipulation of the market by government programs. The lenders who made the mistake of creating these loans that did not "have to" did not properly weigh the costs.
The lenders
were looking out for their own self interest. They got paid a in fees. No one was worried about the quality.
You leave out that this was not only sub-prime loans, there were prime loans, Alt+A loans, spreading to student loans, and car loans.
The investment banks were more than happy to buy these Triple A rated loans.
. All high risk loans were the product that was in demand. They didn't worry about the price. They essentially sold them without paying for them.
I'm only half stupid
That's fine.
But it has nothing to do with my point. With respect to home loans, saying that lenders were forced to make loans similar in design to those made by institutions acting under the guidance of the CRA isn't completely honest. But, as you constantly try to point out, people need jobs. And in order to keep their jobs and their companies running they felt it necessary to create similar products so they could compete for business. They were wrong; lending to those people was dangerous and far too risky and I don't feel the need to forgive them their choices... And to say it wasn't partly Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac is to ignore that the demand for their products grew right up until they admited they had overleveraged themselves. All of these things happened, I do agree. My problem is with the way we handled them once the truth came to light.
No one
wanted to think the unthinkable. There were little tremors and warnings, but to admit that what actually happened, that they blew up the system. Literally!
The way they were handled..... well, I think that was a sense of out and out shock and disbelief. Imagine having to beg for a bailout of our banking system without starting a complete panic.
I'm only half stupid
but the CRA expanded the market
I thought the model here (as presented by RedWing) is that the CRA pressured banks to lend to people who were not credit-worthy. If that is true, then this did not provide any competitive pressure on other lenders, because those borrowers would not have been in the mortgage market at all if it weren't for the CRA policies. If anything, it sounds like the CRA would have been reducing competitive pressure by pulling some companies away from the prime market.
In my expert opinion, you should do what I tell you to do.
The CRA did not pressure, it
The CRA did not pressure, it required. It was ACORN, and others, that did the pressuring. Legally
.
[emphasis mine]
When I say compete for business, I mean business. Of course, that's why I say it was not so much "forced" as it was required. A bank could have chosen not to do any of the things that triggered CRA involvement.
I love this idea
That a group that lobbies for issues that affect poor Americans has more clout than the US banking industry.
If ACORN had such influence, why isn't the government just buying up mortgages of those poor people who were "tricked" into subprime loans? The answer is that they don't.
No one can honestly believe that ACORN has more power than Citigroup.
I never broke the law; I am the law! --
George W. BushJudge DreddI'm listening to...
They were filing lawsuits
They were filing lawsuits against Citigroup and simultaneously trying to develop some Kyoto-like protocol to get banks to agree to a code of ethics against predatory lending.
P.S. When we "backed" Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac we did back those loans.
The bottom line is...
If it weren't for the Gramm-Leach-Bliley act of 1999.... mortgages couldn't have been bundled and sold as securities to large investment banks in the first place.
This very large and misguided piece of bank deregulation caused what would have been a minor crisis (relatively) on the scale of the the S&L crisis of the early '90s to blow up into a crisis that threatens the banking system of the entire world.
Gramm-Leach-Bliley
Gramm-Leach-Bliley
Phil Gramm's baby is the single biggest reason we are teetering on the edge of financial collapse in this country.
Without that, we'd be cleaning up after Fannie Mae, Freddy Mac, Countrywide, and a handful of other mortgage lenders.... but that's all. It would have been "S&L Crisis II" - but not the next great depression.
Attempts to blame this on Dodd and Frank....and leave it at that.... are disingenuous and simply not factual.
From 1933 to 1999, protections were in place to keep different banking sectors segregated - to limit banking failures in one sector from causing a complete collapse of the banking industry.
Those protections were vital.
But because bank lobbyists and their greed to expand their businesses into other sectors convinced a willing GOP-led congress to de-regulate, we're in the mess we're in.
FDR got it right in '33. Gramm - and Clinton for signing it - tore down the wall that would've protected us from this.
I survived the Bush Administration
Are you reaching out to...
....Gramm-Leach-Bliley to somehow justify what you've done? LOL!
Underlying all arguments against the free market is a lack of belief in freedom itself. ~M. Friedman
What do you mean what *I've* done?
I sincerely don't know what you're referring to.
What are you proposing that *I* have done?
I survived the Bush Administration
It was a malignant relationship...
Underlying all arguments against the free market is a lack of belief in freedom itself. ~M. Friedman
Two things
I chuckle when I hear of ACORN described as a "radical group". No. ANSWER, the CPUSA, and Greenpeace are radical groups.
I frown when I see a blockquote and no cite back to the source.
Link please.
I never broke the law; I am the law! --
George W. BushJudge DreddI'm listening to...
Well, I chuckle when I hear people chuckle....
... when ACORN is mentioned...
Give me a hundred ships taking out whaling boats, and no ACORN.
How does greenpeace affect anything? ACORN is a nightmare!
The quote is from a Stanley Kurtz article in the NY Post.
Underlying all arguments against the free market is a lack of belief in freedom itself. ~M. Friedman
I provided the link to it
I provided the link to it above. That fact that you had to ask means you didn't bother to read it or to read it's sources. Unfortunate since it would seem you want to discuss it...
All quotes must have a link
So says the rules
.
I enjoy discussion here, however part of my job is to enforce the rules.
I never broke the law; I am the law! --
George W. BushJudge DreddI'm listening to...
And while we're on the subject
I don't see the link to which you are referring.
The only one I see is the mises.org link you made referencing Thomas DiLorenzo.
I never broke the law; I am the law! --
George W. BushJudge DreddI'm listening to...
Stiney I agree, and I am sure we all do...
...I must confess, I myself am often rushing on SC to take a peek, make a reply and am off to close whatever deal is in front of me that day...so if I fail to do so, as I am confident is true for all of us, it is out of expediency or oversight as opposed to being disagreeable or uncooperative.
;-)
Underlying all arguments against the free market is a lack of belief in freedom itself. ~M. Friedman
Not at all
It is easy to forget. Which is why I didn't use four letter words when asking you to fix the oversight. And then you did in record time.
Cheers!
I never broke the law; I am the law! --
George W. BushJudge DreddI'm listening to...
That is a lie
Banks were not forced to make bad loans.
That's a falsehood.
Economic conditions made it extremely profitable for them, in the short run, to make bad loans.
But they were NOT forced. How do I know?
Because there are dozens and dozens of banks that didn't grant these loans. Banks that are doing just fine right now.
Why did some banks make these loans?
Three points:
1. Small mortgage lenders had no problem with giving out questionable loans because the Gramm-Leach-Bliley act of 1999 made it easy for them to bundle the loans and immediately sell them as securities.... thus taking the risk out of their hands and putting it in someone else's. They make a profit and someone else owns the risk.
2. If the didn't bundle and sell the mortgages.... there STILL was no risk, as long as housing prices kept going up. If the "bad borrowers" defaulted, the banks got ownership of the house - an asset that was steadily rising in value.
3. If the did sell the mortgages, the buyer's of these securities had no problems at all if the borrowers defaulted, because then the security holder got to take over ownership of the borrower's house - which was a great deal as long as house prices kept going up. See #2.
If it weren't for the Gramm-Leach-Bliley act of 1999.... which tore down the depression-era barriers that prevented investment banks from getting involved in mortgage securities.... then the sub-prime crisis, like the S&L crisis of the '90s before it, would have been confined to ONE SECTOR of the banking community.
If the Gramm-Leach-Bliley act of 1999 would have been in place in the early '90s, the S&L crisis would've cost this country far more than $160 billion and the failure of a bunch of small S&Ls. It would've been what we're experiencing now.
And what was the Gramm-Leach-Bliley act of 1999? It was a de-regulation of the banking industry... pushed through and named for Senator Phil Gramm (Republican). The bill was written by the banking industry lobbyists that Gramm was beholden to.
But the blame doesn't just lie with Gramm. Bill Clinton signed the thing. 82 Senators voted for it (including over 30 Democrats).
It was a bi-partisan cluster-fuck that directly led to the current crisis.
Ask yourself why large investment banks like Lehman Brothers would be affected at all by a housing bubble bursting?
Prior to 1999, they couldn't have purchased securities made up of mortgage loans (good or bad).
There was a reason that the barriers between banking sectors existed and worked well from 1933 to 1999.
A GOP-led congress, and a complicit Democratic President, removed depression-era firewalls that would've limited the current crisis to the Countrywides and other mortgage banks.
Disclosure: My brother is a VP and PNC Bank. My understanding of this comes from conversations with him. He knows more about this than you. And I venture to say, he's probably more Republican than you. ;-)
I survived the Bush Administration
Your're an opportunist...and a caricaturist of reality...
..I have ZERO respect for you any more..
Underlying all arguments against the free market is a lack of belief in freedom itself. ~M. Friedman
oh well...
A) What do you mean "any more"? The minute you see a blue bar, you decide you aren't going to engage what someone is saying - but instead toss out insults and ad hominum attacks. You don't respect anyone who dares disagree with your world view. You're a cultist.
B) Above this, I gave a very long and descriptive account of why Gramm-Leach-Bliley deregulation of 1999 is the single biggest reason we're in this mess. You offer no rebuttal.
Since your sole response is to call me an "opportunist" (what the hell does that mean in the context of a message board?) and a "caricaturist of reality" (I *LIKE* that one, and I may use that)... then I guess you concede the point. i.e. Phil Gramm is the biggest reason we're on the brink of financial collapse.
I survived the Bush Administration
Yeah, leaving aside whether
Yeah, leaving aside whether or not it is in our best interest to borrow on such a scale for the purpose of bailing out the banking system or for fiscal stimulus, I do think people should realize that it's like the government grabbed your MasterCard and charged $X,000 on it (oh, and your MasterCard debts get passed on to your children when you retire). Obviously it's not exactly like that, but close enough for people to think of it that way, particularly since so much of our debt is now financed by foreign creditors.
More like a home mortgage than credit card debt
Credit cards charge something like 18% interest.
The federal government is paying something like...0% interest.
In my expert opinion, you should do what I tell you to do.
$451 Billion in fiscal year '08 to holders of the national debt.
The interest expense
paid on the National Debt is the third largest expense in the federal budget.
Underlying all arguments against the free market is a lack of belief in freedom itself. ~M. Friedman
And this is why any "Liberal"
should be for reducing the deficit yesterday.
Those warm and fuzzy entitlements are going out the door unless the debt goes down. Hell, they're probably going out the door even if the debt goes down.
I never broke the law; I am the law! --
George W. BushJudge DreddI'm listening to...
Well, I didn't mean "credit
Well, I didn't mean "credit card" in terms of the interest rate, just conceptually that it is borrowing.
But your reference to 0% is misguided. Interest rates are low right now, but long after this period of low interest rates we'll still have our debt, included what we add to it now.
Also, as for the mortgage analogy, I don't like it because one builds equity via a portion of his mortgage payments, whereas payments on our debt do not leave us with assets other than those incremental assets that come about (and are remaining) as a result of funding via that debt.
And...
...more government assets then you care to know about are not worth even their depreciated book value, or in many cases, likely non existent.
That is a big problem with federal spending, it is virtually unaccountable.
Underlying all arguments against the free market is a lack of belief in freedom itself. ~M. Friedman
it's not real debt
My understanding of the Treasury actions is that they are more akin to loans rather than spending. The only way we end up loosing the entire $2 trillion is if all of the bailed-out institutions collapse (in which case, the economy has fundamentally changed and this debt is irrelevant). Most likely, the actual expense will be much lower than $2 trillion. BTW, does this $2 trillion figure include the previous disbursements for TARP?
The other reason that government debt is not equivalent to private debt is that it can be rolled-over indefinitely.
In the end, I think the real issue is whether we are allocating wealth in a wasteful way. I have no way of deciding whether this represents a good or bad allocation of wealth.
In my expert opinion, you should do what I tell you to do.
I'm going to have to ask you
I'm going to have to ask you to go ahead and explain that a bit more. I'm having a hard time seeing where you can rationalize this as "not real debt"...
which part?
In my expert opinion, you should do what I tell you to do.
Republicans winning the public relations battle...
Underlying all arguments against the free market is a lack of belief in freedom itself. ~M. Friedman
You say Rasmussen, I say Gallup
I can cherry-pick polls, too!
Obama Has Upper Hand in Stimulus Fight
We are the environment. There is no distinction. What we do to the earth we do to ourselves. —David Suzuki
I would venture to say...
...the CGB is hardly cherry picking a poll
, at least not an average everyday popularity poll as you have chosen to pony up.
Underlying all arguments against the free market is a lack of belief in freedom itself. ~M. Friedman
I hope you're not implying
I hope you're not implying that what the public favors is more likely to be good fiscal policy.
I think that was to me...?
If so..
I would answer, no.
However I am convinced that almost any fiscal policy other than that we are embarking on would be better.
Less, none, somewhere in between.
Underlying all arguments against the free market is a lack of belief in freedom itself. ~M. Friedman
yes, addressed to you. Glad
yes, addressed to you. Glad that wasn't your implication.
I am generally opposed to fiscal stimulus, but I favor it in this case, given how much of the Fed's ammo has already been used.
I think there are...
...many positive stimulating actions the federal government could apply, unfortunately I do not see many of them in this package.
Underlying all arguments against the free market is a lack of belief in freedom itself. ~M. Friedman
what would you like to see
what would you like to see more of and less of?
Shenanigans: That could be Senator Stormy to you
If you don't turn to politics, politics will turn... on you
In our society, people are rewarded for pretending to be certain about things they're clearly not certain about. -- Sam Harris,
It's about time
I'm sure there will be some sort of word play regarding politicians being whores.
I never broke the law; I am the law! --
George W. BushJudge DreddI'm listening to...
How The World Almost Ended
I wanted to bring attention to this amazing-if-true, interesting-if-not piece
regarding an "electronic bank run".
I always welcomed armageddon. What a shame...
Also enjoy the caller on CSPAN. Give the money to the poor. They'll spend it, guaranteed.
Via Sullivan
.
I never broke the law; I am the law! --
George W. BushJudge DreddI'm listening to...
It's almost impressive just
It's almost impressive just how fragile fiat money systems really are.
Gold would be the same way
If the government set the price of gold.
What you're looking for is getting rid of the federal reserve and having "free market" banking system. This can be done just as easily with paper as it can with shiny rocks.
I never broke the law; I am the law! --
George W. BushJudge DreddI'm listening to...
I can not wait to hear this conversation!
n/t
Underlying all arguments against the free market is a lack of belief in freedom itself. ~M. Friedman
C'est vrai
Goldbugs have this idea that gold is somehow intrinsically worth something. It isn't.
If we were on a gold standard, Congress still has the power to change the exchange rate, which is the same thing as printing more money.
What we're talking about is making it so that the government can't print more money at will. A gold standard changes nothing without a free market banking system.
I never broke the law; I am the law! --
George W. BushJudge DreddI'm listening to...
I have by inclination as opposed to luminosity...
...always felt the gold standard was the way to go...
When you say congress would have the power to change the exchange rate, you mean through the money supply or other affects on the marketplace, right?
I mean they could not just on a whim say ...hey...today Gold is X?
Underlying all arguments against the free market is a lack of belief in freedom itself. ~M. Friedman
by inclination as opposed to
That phrasing reminds me of the somewhat factually-based joke that managers use consultants the way a drunk uses a lamppost: more for support than illumination.
LOL, OK I may not be so savy in every regard...
...and I'm an old guy in a young man's world....
...but hear this Ron Paul interview...and yes it is somewhat antiquated...but the topics we are addressing are not...so give it a listen with an open mind, this is very close to what I believe today. The first video is on the gold standard, but it is long, I hope some will find it worth the time.Enjoy.
He makes just too much sense for some people.
I think we have swung so for out of whack that we are on the brink of a renewed interest in constitutional government.
We'll see.
Underlying all arguments against the free market is a lack of belief in freedom itself. ~M. Friedman
My joke wasn't intended as
My joke wasn't intended as commentary on the view you expressed. Just kind of a word-association-triggered memory.
As for an extreme libertarian view (that of the Libertarian Party), and by "extreme" I don't mean to imply anything negative, just descriptive, I have always appreciated the core argument that no one has the right to confiscate someone else's property to transfer wealth to someone else against the former's wishes. But I think one must also consider the drawbacks of such an approach that derive from dynamics such as the "free rider problem": Suppose 97% of members of a society want to collectively fund education so that even those who would not be able to afford private education can still get an education (and we can even just look at it as altruistic, leaving aside the argument that universal education is a good investment for society and thus a "public good", which would be another argument for government confiscating wealth -- i.e., taxing -- for that purpse). And further suppose that, if funded on a voluntary basis (through private philanthropy), the free rider problem would lead to inadequate funding vis a vis that objective. Is it necessarily wrong for the 97% to impose on the other 3% (as well as on themselves) a tax whereby that 3% ends up having their wealth confiscated against their wishes for this purpose? I would say "No, it's not necessarily wrong. At some point it is not wrong for the interests of the majority to trump individual property rights even with regard to transfer of wealth."
Separate question: Do you generally agree with Ron Paul's non-interventionism policy regarding use of our military?
Great Q's, OK lets work thru this then...
Give me some time to dial it all in..
Paragraph's are helpful...
Underlying all arguments against the free market is a lack of belief in freedom itself. ~M. Friedman
A video that opened my eyes (on currency)
I know some parts of this movie is simplistic..... and it is long.
But it is very engaging. I'd like to know what the conservatives and libertarians here think of it.
http://video.google.com/videoplay?docid=-9050474362583451279
I can name some flaws in it... but I want others to watch before I say what I think the flaws are.
I survived the Bush Administration
OMG...if it's ok with you...
..I will roll over and go back to sleep.....
Underlying all arguments against the free market is a lack of belief in freedom itself. ~M. Friedman
So in other words...
You didn't/wouldn't watch it?
I would agree that it might not be 100% accurate..... but it certainly isn't boring.
I survived the Bush Administration
No...
... in actual words...it is not worth watching...
Underlying all arguments against the free market is a lack of belief in freedom itself. ~M. Friedman
And how do you know this?
Did you START watching it?
For those that haven't..... it is a animated documentary called "Money as debt" and it is in some ways very informative as to how currency REALLY works.
But it does have a few gaping holes in logic, in my view. But it's a very entertaining and compelling movie.
I survived the Bush Administration
Right...for thos..th..t did..n ' t ...ZZZzzz....
.
Underlying all arguments against the free market is a lack of belief in freedom itself. ~M. Friedman
Maybe PM should copy and paste articles from MoveOn
Those would surely be worth one's time.
In our society, people are rewarded for pretending to be certain about things they're clearly not certain about. -- Sam Harris,
Considering what PM has to say...It would only help...
n/t
Underlying all arguments against the free market is a lack of belief in freedom itself. ~M. Friedman
What I want to know
is what event triggered this. What? Was it a foreign bank? An individual.
I saw this on CSpan and wondered why no one every mentioned it. I also wonder why no one brought this to the light of day at the time in the news. Are they afraid to say what happened. I seriously think 'they' were afraid of a global panic.
I am dying to know why this happened. And why money market funds and not stock? Was it an economic attack on America?
When and if someone finds out please let me know!
This whole story will make a great movie someday, if they ever get to the bottom of it.
I'm only half stupid
I would assume it wasn't made
I would assume it wasn't made all that well known for the same reason that the now famous Cuban Missle standoff event wasn't mentioned for quite some time after that fateful day.
Probably true
I agree that in both cases there are global implications.
I'm only half stupid
Research somthing for a change...
Then maybe you won't be so arbitrary in your interpretation for once.
Underlying all arguments against the free market is a lack of belief in freedom itself. ~M. Friedman
Is it possible for you to have differences with someone...
......without being a dick about it?
I survived the Bush Administration
If you were not such a liberal sheep....
...and had you taken the time to read the countless entries regarding this...
..I may take your ignorant reaction into consideration.
Otherwise shut the fuck up.
Underlying all arguments against the free market is a lack of belief in freedom itself. ~M. Friedman
No it isn't
possible for him to stop.
HIs insults are so numerous and his arguments are so disingenious, that they have become meaningless.
That old saying reasonable people can disagree. You can draw your own conclusion.
Death to the liberal sheep. They are encroaching on our land! They must be destroyed!
Doesn't the tone remind you of the rantings of a short little dictator whose name rhymes with Amentheshitazasgod.
I'm only half stupid
Coming from YOU 2...
...I consider it a compliment.
I have tried, I've bent over backwards, I've made a honest effort to ask reasonable Q's and give rational answers, to ML in particular, and so have almost everyone else at SC, and for what?
Nada.
She can't even disagree, because she is never on topic long enough to figure our what she is b!tch!ng about.
But whatever?
Underlying all arguments against the free market is a lack of belief in freedom itself. ~M. Friedman
Then don't bother replying
This is not hard to do and I have suggested it on several occasions.
I never broke the law; I am the law! --
George W. BushJudge DreddI'm listening to...
Then don't bother replying
This is not hard to do and I have suggested it on several occasions.
I never broke the law; I am the law! --
George W. BushJudge DreddI'm listening to...
Panic!
It's high time Panic entered the vernacular again. Along with fisticuffs.
In our society, people are rewarded for pretending to be certain about things they're clearly not certain about. -- Sam Harris,
I can't stop being fascinated
CEO's of the major banks are being called on to start lending again out of a sense of patriotism.
They sit before Congress today as the mood of the public has soured and there is a populist cry for their heads.
Perhaps one aspect of getting the economic system started again would be the satisfaction of seeing someone(s) humbly take accountability for this mess. It could be medicine that soothes the angry masses.
I'm only half stupid